Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Asia Optical Co., Inc. (3019.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,116.51 - $1,316.04$1,233.04
Multi-Stage$837.17 - $920.63$878.10
Blended Fair Value$1,055.57
Current Price$158.50
Upside565.98%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.91%4.97%1.781.883.681.001.992.291.591.001.881.32
YoY Growth---5.26%-48.98%270.00%-50.00%-13.04%43.75%60.00%-46.96%42.28%20.33%
Dividend Yield--1.30%2.90%5.58%1.26%2.23%3.75%1.64%0.97%3.62%4.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,914.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,116.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)797.04
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)382.80239.25143.55
Cash Retained (M)797.04797.04797.04
(-) Cash Required (M)-382.80-239.25-143.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)414.24557.79653.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)282.33282.33282.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.471.982.31
LTM Dividend per Share3.963.963.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.471.982.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.425.936.27
WACC / Discount Rate-1.55%-1.55%-1.55%
Growth Rate2.93%3.93%4.93%
Fair Value$1,116.51$1,233.04$1,316.04
Upside / Downside604.42%677.94%730.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,914.021,989.262,067.462,148.742,233.212,321.002,390.63
Payout Ratio58.36%64.69%71.01%77.34%83.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,116.981,286.781,468.201,661.901,868.562,088.902,211.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.55%-1.55%-1.55%
Growth Rate2.93%3.93%4.93%
Year 1 PV (M)1,294.461,307.041,319.61
Year 2 PV (M)1,485.791,514.801,544.09
Year 3 PV (M)1,691.861,741.651,792.41
Year 4 PV (M)1,913.601,989.062,066.72
Year 5 PV (M)2,152.032,258.622,369.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)227,816.51239,100.09250,826.40
Equity Value (M)236,354.25247,911.25259,918.62
Shares Outstanding (M)282.33282.33282.33
Fair Value$837.17$878.10$920.63
Upside / Downside428.18%454.01%480.84%

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