Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $221,217.06 - $363,465.22 | $284,495.24 |
| Multi-Stage | $179,470.44 - $195,595.47 | $187,389.28 |
| Blended Fair Value | $235,942.26 | |
| Current Price | $165,400.00 | |
| Upside | 42.65% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 13.81% | 15.43% | 3,150.02 | 2,850.02 | 1,900.01 | 1,750.01 | 1,750.01 | 1,650.01 | 1,500.01 | 1,500.01 | 1,500.01 | 1,000.01 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 10.53% | 50.00% | 8.57% | 0.00% | 6.06% | 10.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 50.00% | 33.33% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 2.80% | 3.26% | 2.40% | 1.82% | 1.87% | 3.64% | 2.32% | 1.78% | 2.04% | 1.06% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 1,389,602.10 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 277,500.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 1,112,102.10 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 277,920.42 | 173,700.26 | 104,220.16 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 1,112,102.10 | 1,112,102.10 | 1,112,102.10 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -277,920.42 | -173,700.26 | -104,220.16 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 834,181.68 | 938,401.84 | 1,007,881.95 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 75.00 | 75.00 | 75.00 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 11,122.50 | 12,512.11 | 13,438.52 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 3,700.02 | 3,700.02 | 3,700.02 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 11,122.50 | 12,512.11 | 13,438.52 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 14,822.52 | 16,212.13 | 17,138.54 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 12.57% | 12.57% | 12.57% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $221,217.06 | $284,495.24 | $363,465.22 |
| Upside / Downside | 33.75% | 72.00% | 119.75% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 1,389,602.10 | 1,479,926.24 | 1,576,121.45 | 1,678,569.34 | 1,787,676.35 | 1,903,875.31 | 1,960,991.57 |
| Payout Ratio | 19.97% | 33.98% | 47.98% | 61.99% | 75.99% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 277,500.00 | 502,816.72 | 756,252.18 | 1,040,509.85 | 1,358,525.85 | 1,713,487.78 | 1,813,917.20 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 12.57% | 12.57% | 12.57% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 442,480.25 | 446,674.37 | 450,868.50 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 585,645.74 | 596,800.64 | 608,060.78 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 709,085.68 | 729,440.98 | 750,182.15 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 814,712.91 | 846,044.47 | 878,271.15 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 904,277.81 | 947,954.77 | 993,303.34 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 10,003,990.72 | 10,487,187.21 | 10,988,876.77 |
| Equity Value (M) | 13,460,193.10 | 14,054,102.44 | 14,669,562.70 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 75.00 | 75.00 | 75.00 |
| Fair Value | $179,470.44 | $187,389.28 | $195,595.47 |
| Upside / Downside | 8.51% | 13.29% | 18.26% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 688009.SS | China Railway Signal & Communication Corporation Limited | 3.25% | $0.18 | 55.08% |
| ALMB.CO | Alm. Brand A/S | 3.25% | $0.60 | 69.79% |
| BUDI.JK | PT Budi Starch & Sweetener Tbk | 3.25% | $7.01 | 35.52% |
| 0398.HK | Oriental Watch Holdings Limited | 3.24% | $0.12 | 19.25% |
| 044820.KS | Cosmax BTI, Inc. | 3.24% | $449.62 | 35.33% |
| 8017.HK | TradeGo FinTech Limited | 3.24% | $0.05 | 45.22% |
| ALPM.PA | Precia S.A. | 3.24% | $0.86 | 32.45% |
| DGV.MI | Digital Value S.p.A. | 3.24% | $0.93 | 15.10% |
| ULTJ.JK | PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Company Tbk | 3.24% | $46.50 | 39.75% |
| 004890.KS | Dongil Industries Co.,Ltd. | 3.23% | $1,262.87 | 23.13% |
| 5297.TWO | 3s Silicon Tech., Inc. | 3.23% | $0.92 | 61.02% |
| 600219.SS | Shandong Nanshan Aluminium Co.,Ltd. | 3.23% | $0.17 | 39.17% |
| 601018.SS | Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company Limited | 3.23% | $0.12 | 48.88% |
| 6448.T | Brother Industries, Ltd. | 3.23% | $100.95 | 46.67% |
| AZE.BR | Azelis Group N.V. | 3.23% | $0.30 | 24.74% |
| FDP | Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc. | 3.23% | $1.14 | 68.58% |
| FMM-B.ST | FM Mattsson Mora Group AB (publ) | 3.23% | $2.25 | 87.42% |
| ITECH.ST | I-Tech AB | 3.23% | $1.74 | 50.69% |
| MTY.TO | MTY Food Group Inc. | 3.23% | $1.24 | 73.76% |
| SKA-B.ST | Skanska AB (publ) | 3.23% | $8.31 | 55.80% |
| 1179.HK | H World Group Limited | 3.22% | $1.20 | 98.76% |
| 2745.TWO | Life Travel & Tourist Service Co., Ltd. | 3.22% | $3.48 | 41.20% |
| 3533.TW | Lotes Co., Ltd | 3.22% | $41.68 | 56.60% |
| 5908.KL | DKSH Holdings (Malaysia) Berhad | 3.22% | $0.19 | 20.93% |
| 600886.SS | SDIC Power Holdings Co., Ltd. | 3.22% | $0.42 | 51.34% |
| 603566.SS | Pulike Biological Engineering, Inc. | 3.22% | $0.40 | 95.20% |
| 9583.SR | United Mining Industries Co. | 3.22% | $1.45 | 81.04% |
| CBG-R.BK | Carabao Group Public Company Limited | 3.22% | $1.40 | 47.30% |
| ESF.VI | Eurofins Scientific SE | 3.22% | $2.01 | 62.22% |
| ETE.AT | National Bank of Greece S.A. | 3.22% | $0.44 | 36.82% |
| MOTV3.SA | Motiva S.A. | 3.22% | $0.48 | 33.62% |
| NCKL.JK | PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk | 3.22% | $37.57 | 29.64% |
| TEA.AX | Tasmea Ltd | 3.22% | $0.13 | 38.34% |
| 002283.SZ | Tianrun Industry Technology Co., Ltd. | 3.21% | $0.20 | 65.38% |
| 004840.KS | DRB Holding Co., Ltd. | 3.21% | $160.40 | 26.30% |
| 241560.KS | Doosan Bobcat Inc. | 3.21% | $1,824.89 | 39.43% |
| 300406.SZ | Beijing Strong Biotechnologies, Inc. | 3.21% | $0.42 | 56.93% |
| 4088.T | Air Water Inc. | 3.21% | $72.44 | 32.93% |
| 603187.SS | Qingdao Hiron Commercial Cold Chain Co., Ltd. | 3.21% | $0.50 | 50.00% |
| 6250.T | Yamabiko Corporation | 3.21% | $95.31 | 27.60% |
| SKF-A.ST | AB SKF (publ) | 3.21% | $7.93 | 74.23% |
| 002441.SZ | Zhongyeda Electric Co., Ltd. | 3.20% | $0.30 | 77.91% |
| 002991.SZ | Ganyuan Foods Co., Ltd. | 3.20% | $1.82 | 65.31% |
| 300833.SZ | Guangzhou Haoyang Electronic Co.,Ltd. | 3.20% | $1.30 | 92.60% |
| 688799.SS | Hunan Warrant Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd | 3.20% | $1.53 | 67.14% |
| 029530.KS | sindoh Co.,Ltd. | 3.19% | $1,500.14 | 29.67% |
| 0RL4.L | Catella AB (publ) | 3.19% | $0.91 | 47.34% |
| 5889.T | Japan Eyewear Holdings Co., Ltd. | 3.19% | $64.74 | 39.09% |
| DAPS.BO | DAPS Advertising Ltd. | 3.19% | $0.65 | 14.79% |
| PTPS.JK | PT Pulau Subur Tbk | 3.19% | $6.00 | 38.20% |