Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $357,838.41 - $1,395,611.49 | $606,865.71 |
| Multi-Stage | $227,585.26 - $248,612.58 | $237,908.14 |
| Blended Fair Value | $422,386.92 | |
| Current Price | $156,600.00 | |
| Upside | 169.72% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 8.73% | 13.54% | 4,026.46 | 3,326.47 | 3,300.35 | 2,499.98 | 2,649.98 | 2,649.98 | 1,999.99 | 1,420.11 | 2,484.16 | 1,895.21 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 21.04% | 0.79% | 32.01% | -5.66% | 0.00% | 32.50% | 40.83% | -42.83% | 31.08% | 67.58% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 4.86% | 3.64% | 5.26% | 3.79% | 3.39% | 6.16% | 2.38% | 1.22% | 2.29% | 1.61% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 2,181,829.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 866,715.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 1,315,114.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 436,365.80 | 272,728.63 | 163,637.18 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 1,315,114.00 | 1,315,114.00 | 1,315,114.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -436,365.80 | -272,728.63 | -163,637.18 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 878,748.20 | 1,042,385.38 | 1,151,476.83 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 179.58 | 179.58 | 179.58 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 4,893.46 | 5,804.70 | 6,412.20 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 4,826.45 | 4,826.45 | 4,826.45 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 4,893.46 | 5,804.70 | 6,412.20 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 9,719.91 | 10,631.16 | 11,238.65 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 8.37% | 8.37% | 8.37% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $357,838.41 | $606,865.71 | $1,395,611.49 |
| Upside / Downside | 128.50% | 287.53% | 791.20% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 2,181,829.00 | 2,323,647.89 | 2,474,685.00 | 2,635,539.52 | 2,806,849.59 | 2,989,294.81 | 3,078,973.66 |
| Payout Ratio | 39.72% | 49.78% | 59.83% | 69.89% | 79.94% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 866,715.00 | 1,156,697.80 | 1,480,716.49 | 1,841,970.57 | 2,243,931.64 | 2,690,365.33 | 2,848,050.63 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 8.37% | 8.37% | 8.37% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 1,057,379.76 | 1,067,402.32 | 1,077,424.88 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 1,237,354.34 | 1,260,922.46 | 1,284,712.93 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 1,407,070.78 | 1,447,462.72 | 1,488,620.37 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 1,566,945.77 | 1,627,206.08 | 1,689,187.99 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 1,717,381.13 | 1,800,331.28 | 1,886,456.13 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 33,882,719.06 | 35,519,267.06 | 37,218,449.61 |
| Equity Value (M) | 40,868,850.84 | 42,722,591.93 | 44,644,851.90 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 179.58 | 179.58 | 179.58 |
| Fair Value | $227,585.26 | $237,908.14 | $248,612.58 |
| Upside / Downside | 45.33% | 51.92% | 58.76% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 688009.SS | China Railway Signal & Communication Corporation Limited | 3.25% | $0.18 | 55.08% |
| ALMB.CO | Alm. Brand A/S | 3.25% | $0.60 | 69.79% |
| BUDI.JK | PT Budi Starch & Sweetener Tbk | 3.25% | $7.01 | 35.52% |
| 0398.HK | Oriental Watch Holdings Limited | 3.24% | $0.12 | 19.25% |
| 044820.KS | Cosmax BTI, Inc. | 3.24% | $449.62 | 35.33% |
| 8017.HK | TradeGo FinTech Limited | 3.24% | $0.05 | 45.22% |
| ALPM.PA | Precia S.A. | 3.24% | $0.86 | 32.45% |
| DGV.MI | Digital Value S.p.A. | 3.24% | $0.93 | 15.10% |
| ULTJ.JK | PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Company Tbk | 3.24% | $46.50 | 39.75% |
| 004890.KS | Dongil Industries Co.,Ltd. | 3.23% | $1,262.87 | 23.13% |
| 5297.TWO | 3s Silicon Tech., Inc. | 3.23% | $0.92 | 61.02% |
| 600219.SS | Shandong Nanshan Aluminium Co.,Ltd. | 3.23% | $0.17 | 39.17% |
| 601018.SS | Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company Limited | 3.23% | $0.12 | 48.88% |
| 6448.T | Brother Industries, Ltd. | 3.23% | $100.95 | 46.67% |
| AZE.BR | Azelis Group N.V. | 3.23% | $0.30 | 24.74% |
| FDP | Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc. | 3.23% | $1.14 | 68.58% |
| FMM-B.ST | FM Mattsson Mora Group AB (publ) | 3.23% | $2.25 | 87.42% |
| ITECH.ST | I-Tech AB | 3.23% | $1.74 | 50.69% |
| MTY.TO | MTY Food Group Inc. | 3.23% | $1.24 | 73.76% |
| SKA-B.ST | Skanska AB (publ) | 3.23% | $8.31 | 55.80% |
| 1179.HK | H World Group Limited | 3.22% | $1.20 | 98.76% |
| 2745.TWO | Life Travel & Tourist Service Co., Ltd. | 3.22% | $3.48 | 41.20% |
| 3533.TW | Lotes Co., Ltd | 3.22% | $41.68 | 56.60% |
| 5908.KL | DKSH Holdings (Malaysia) Berhad | 3.22% | $0.19 | 20.93% |
| 600886.SS | SDIC Power Holdings Co., Ltd. | 3.22% | $0.42 | 51.34% |
| 603566.SS | Pulike Biological Engineering, Inc. | 3.22% | $0.40 | 95.20% |
| 9583.SR | United Mining Industries Co. | 3.22% | $1.45 | 81.04% |
| CBG-R.BK | Carabao Group Public Company Limited | 3.22% | $1.40 | 47.30% |
| ESF.VI | Eurofins Scientific SE | 3.22% | $2.01 | 62.22% |
| ETE.AT | National Bank of Greece S.A. | 3.22% | $0.44 | 36.82% |
| MOTV3.SA | Motiva S.A. | 3.22% | $0.48 | 33.62% |
| NCKL.JK | PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk | 3.22% | $37.57 | 29.64% |
| TEA.AX | Tasmea Ltd | 3.22% | $0.13 | 38.34% |
| 002283.SZ | Tianrun Industry Technology Co., Ltd. | 3.21% | $0.20 | 65.38% |
| 004840.KS | DRB Holding Co., Ltd. | 3.21% | $160.40 | 26.30% |
| 241560.KS | Doosan Bobcat Inc. | 3.21% | $1,824.89 | 39.43% |
| 300406.SZ | Beijing Strong Biotechnologies, Inc. | 3.21% | $0.42 | 56.93% |
| 4088.T | Air Water Inc. | 3.21% | $72.44 | 32.93% |
| 603187.SS | Qingdao Hiron Commercial Cold Chain Co., Ltd. | 3.21% | $0.50 | 50.00% |
| 6250.T | Yamabiko Corporation | 3.21% | $95.31 | 27.60% |
| SKF-A.ST | AB SKF (publ) | 3.21% | $7.93 | 74.23% |
| 002441.SZ | Zhongyeda Electric Co., Ltd. | 3.20% | $0.30 | 77.91% |
| 002991.SZ | Ganyuan Foods Co., Ltd. | 3.20% | $1.82 | 65.31% |
| 300833.SZ | Guangzhou Haoyang Electronic Co.,Ltd. | 3.20% | $1.30 | 92.60% |
| 688799.SS | Hunan Warrant Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd | 3.20% | $1.53 | 67.14% |
| 029530.KS | sindoh Co.,Ltd. | 3.19% | $1,500.14 | 29.67% |
| 0RL4.L | Catella AB (publ) | 3.19% | $0.91 | 47.34% |
| 5889.T | Japan Eyewear Holdings Co., Ltd. | 3.19% | $64.74 | 39.09% |
| DAPS.BO | DAPS Advertising Ltd. | 3.19% | $0.65 | 14.79% |
| PTPS.JK | PT Pulau Subur Tbk | 3.19% | $6.00 | 38.20% |