Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Kyungdong Invest Co., Ltd (012320.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated GasSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$85,868.39 - $126,650.33$105,420.80
Multi-Stage$118,981.31 - $130,681.80$124,719.29
Blended Fair Value$115,070.04
Current Price$57,500.00
Upside100.12%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.69%-9.28%755.91755.91755.91505.63518.44521.86521.862,013.932,180.822,191.23
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%49.50%-2.47%-0.66%0.00%-74.09%-7.65%-0.48%9.40%
Dividend Yield--1.26%0.89%0.71%1.41%1.28%2.21%1.31%4.74%2.46%2.79%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)23,441.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,657.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)21,783.82
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,688.232,930.151,758.09
Cash Retained (M)21,783.8221,783.8221,783.82
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,688.23-2,930.15-1,758.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)17,095.5918,853.6820,025.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.182.182.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share7,849.568,656.809,194.95
LTM Dividend per Share760.98760.98760.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share7,849.568,656.809,194.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend8,610.549,417.789,955.93
WACC / Discount Rate9.55%9.55%9.55%
Growth Rate-0.43%0.57%1.57%
Fair Value$85,868.39$105,420.80$126,650.33
Upside / Downside49.34%83.34%120.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)23,441.1623,573.6823,706.9523,840.9823,975.7624,111.3024,834.64
Payout Ratio7.07%23.66%40.24%56.83%73.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,657.345,576.639,540.1813,548.3717,601.5721,700.1722,972.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.55%9.55%9.55%
Growth Rate-0.43%0.57%1.57%
Year 1 PV (M)5,039.905,090.525,141.14
Year 2 PV (M)7,792.147,949.458,108.33
Year 3 PV (M)10,000.8610,305.2310,615.72
Year 4 PV (M)11,742.2612,221.1612,714.55
Year 5 PV (M)13,083.1913,753.5314,451.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)211,471.62222,306.83233,581.70
Equity Value (M)259,129.97271,626.72284,612.52
Shares Outstanding (M)2.182.182.18
Fair Value$118,981.31$124,719.29$130,681.80
Upside / Downside106.92%116.90%127.27%

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