Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Analysis Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

The Timken Company (TKR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$44.30 - $70.34$56.16
Multi-Stage$53.56 - $58.61$56.04
Blended Fair Value$56.10
Current Price$75.18
Upside-25.38%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.51%0.62%1.371.341.301.311.241.211.221.181.161.24
YoY Growth--2.23%2.51%-0.54%5.98%2.47%-0.93%2.88%2.08%-6.21%-3.65%
Dividend Yield--1.90%1.52%1.59%2.16%1.52%3.73%2.68%2.70%2.57%3.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)297.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)97.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)199.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)59.4637.1622.30
Cash Retained (M)199.50199.50199.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-59.46-37.16-22.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)140.04162.34177.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)70.3670.3670.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.992.312.52
LTM Dividend per Share1.391.391.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.992.312.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.383.703.91
WACC / Discount Rate9.57%9.57%9.57%
Growth Rate1.80%2.80%3.80%
Fair Value$44.30$56.16$70.34
Upside / Downside-41.07%-25.30%-6.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)297.30305.64314.21323.03332.09341.40351.64
Payout Ratio32.90%44.32%55.74%67.16%78.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)97.80135.45175.13216.94260.95307.26325.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.57%9.57%9.57%
Growth Rate1.80%2.80%3.80%
Year 1 PV (M)122.41123.62124.82
Year 2 PV (M)143.04145.87148.72
Year 3 PV (M)160.13164.90169.76
Year 4 PV (M)174.08181.02188.17
Year 5 PV (M)185.25194.53204.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,983.303,132.733,288.09
Equity Value (M)3,768.233,942.674,123.73
Shares Outstanding (M)70.3670.3670.36
Fair Value$53.56$56.04$58.61
Upside / Downside-28.76%-25.46%-22.04%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 48 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
3269.TAdvance Residence Investment Corporation3.39%$5,804.0552.10%
CTZ.VNamSys Inc.3.39%$0.0556.26%
FILTRA.BOFiltra Consultants and Engineers Limited3.39%$2.4484.66%
INWI.STInwido AB (publ)3.39%$5.4860.02%
000422.SZHubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.3.38%$0.4872.32%
002318.SZZhejiang Jiuli Hi-Tech Metals Co., Ltd.3.38%$0.9854.31%
002533.SZGold cup Electric Apparatus Co.,Ltd.3.38%$0.4250.59%
003490.KSKorean Air Lines Co., Ltd.3.38%$750.2629.70%
600578.SSBeijing Jingneng Power Co., Ltd.3.38%$0.1733.20%
601811.SSXinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co., Ltd.3.38%$0.4534.30%
7270.TSubaru Corporation3.38%$114.7827.17%
JHGJanus Henderson Group plc3.38%$1.6146.72%
002714.SZMuyuan Foods Co., Ltd.3.37%$1.7041.84%
019210.KQYG-1 Co., Ltd.3.37%$174.8833.83%
1954.TNippon Koei Co., Ltd.3.37%$126.0437.37%
7TEC.BOSaven Technologies Limited3.37%$1.5048.59%
8252.TMarui Group Co., Ltd.3.37%$108.4166.71%
9739.TNSW Inc.3.37%$85.1035.17%
0JMU.Ltechnotrans SE3.36%$1.1552.64%
4321.SRArabian Centres Company3.36%$0.6424.31%
600141.SSHubei Xingfa Chemicals Group Co., Ltd.3.36%$1.1683.90%
601825.SSShanghai Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd.3.36%$0.3124.33%
KC4.DEKONE Oyj3.36%$1.8095.42%
OTEXOpen Text Corporation3.36%$1.0755.28%
294870.KSHDC Hyundai Development Company3.35%$700.0023.41%
4212.TSekisui Jushi Corporation3.35%$71.2959.28%
B61.SIBukit Sembawang Estates Limited3.35%$0.1636.24%
CAMB.BRCampine N.V.3.35%$7.6318.23%
ELIS.PAElis S.A.3.35%$0.8033.62%
KREATE.HEKreate Group Oyj3.35%$0.4379.17%
M12.DEM1 Kliniken AG3.35%$0.6132.73%
XGR2.DECompass Group PLC3.35%$0.9061.67%
004430.KSSongwon Industrial Co., Ltd.3.34%$301.2433.59%
0N66.LATOSS Software AG3.34%$3.8280.44%
6219.TWOFull Wang International Development Co., Ltd.3.34%$0.6777.89%
9537.SRAmwaj International Company3.34%$1.0094.38%
AMATAV.BKAmata VN Public Company Limited3.34%$0.0621.41%
EOAN.DEE.on Se3.34%$0.5547.88%
030190.KQNICE Information Service Co., Ltd.3.33%$331.9538.71%
089470.KSHDC Hyundai Engineering Plastics Co., Ltd.3.33%$140.0111.49%
2373.HKBeauty Farm Medical and Health Industry Inc.3.33%$0.8841.42%
600258.SSBTG Hotels (Group) Co., Ltd.3.33%$0.5674.23%
601518.SSJilin Expressway Co., Ltd.3.33%$0.0932.60%
6584.TSanoh Industrial Co., Ltd.3.33%$28.5739.95%
6843.TWOJDV Control Valves Co., Ltd.3.33%$1.9085.01%
ARASE.ISDogu Aras Enerji Yatirimlari AS3.33%$2.3841.72%
AZA.STAvanza Bank Holding AB (publ)3.33%$11.7070.53%
BAY-R.BKBank of Ayudhya Public Company Limited3.33%$0.8720.61%
SL.MISanlorenzo S.p.A.3.33%$1.0133.16%
STNGScorpio Tankers Inc.3.33%$1.6528.37%