Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Analysis Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

The Timken Company (TKR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$44.30 - $70.34$56.16
Multi-Stage$53.56 - $58.61$56.04
Blended Fair Value$56.10
Current Price$75.18
Upside-25.38%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.51%0.62%1.371.341.301.311.241.211.221.181.161.24
YoY Growth--2.23%2.51%-0.54%5.98%2.47%-0.93%2.88%2.08%-6.21%-3.65%
Dividend Yield--1.90%1.52%1.59%2.16%1.52%3.73%2.68%2.70%2.57%3.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)297.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)97.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)199.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)59.4637.1622.30
Cash Retained (M)199.50199.50199.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-59.46-37.16-22.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)140.04162.34177.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)70.3670.3670.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.992.312.52
LTM Dividend per Share1.391.391.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.992.312.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.383.703.91
WACC / Discount Rate9.57%9.57%9.57%
Growth Rate1.80%2.80%3.80%
Fair Value$44.30$56.16$70.34
Upside / Downside-41.07%-25.30%-6.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)297.30305.64314.21323.03332.09341.40351.64
Payout Ratio32.90%44.32%55.74%67.16%78.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)97.80135.45175.13216.94260.95307.26325.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.57%9.57%9.57%
Growth Rate1.80%2.80%3.80%
Year 1 PV (M)122.41123.62124.82
Year 2 PV (M)143.04145.87148.72
Year 3 PV (M)160.13164.90169.76
Year 4 PV (M)174.08181.02188.17
Year 5 PV (M)185.25194.53204.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,983.303,132.733,288.09
Equity Value (M)3,768.233,942.674,123.73
Shares Outstanding (M)70.3670.3670.36
Fair Value$53.56$56.04$58.61
Upside / Downside-28.76%-25.46%-22.04%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 47 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
4588.KLUMW Holdings Berhad3.46%$0.1722.64%
600039.SSSichuan Road & Bridge Co.,Ltd3.46%$0.3438.73%
6179.TWOATE Energy International Co., Ltd.3.46%$1.0161.93%
CCECCapital Clean Energy Carriers Corp.3.46%$0.7114.75%
PPGL.JKPT Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk3.46%$6.5459.35%
4280.SRKingdom Holding Company3.45%$0.2761.01%
4731.KLScientex Berhad3.45%$0.1235.19%
600956.SSChina Suntien Green Energy Corporation Limited3.45%$0.2560.39%
9310.TJapan Transcity Corporation3.45%$39.1840.54%
A2B.AXA2B Australia Limited3.45%$0.0510.73%
JUBILE.BKJubilee Enterprise Public Company Limited3.45%$0.2442.76%
OBS.DEOrbis AG3.45%$0.2029.66%
SNGR.LSNGN Romgaz S.A.3.45%$0.3545.29%
T.MEIPJSC T-Technologies3.45%$108.9019.03%
002546.SZNanjing Xinlian Electronics Co., Ltd3.44%$0.2428.69%
003010.KSHaein Corporation3.44%$184.3018.44%
1861.HKPrecious Dragon Technology Holdings Limited3.44%$0.0713.56%
2M6.DEMedtronic plc3.44%$2.8175.86%
353810.KQEASY BIO,Inc.3.44%$200.0033.23%
4523.TEisai Co., Ltd.3.44%$160.1791.46%
8951.TNippon Building Fund Incorporation3.44%$4,915.8152.71%
OND.WAOnde S.A.3.44%$0.3087.35%
4540.TTsumura & Co.3.43%$139.6637.89%
6764.TWOAce Edulink Co., Ltd.3.43%$1.0084.07%
688366.SSShanghai Haohai Biological Technology Co., Ltd.3.43%$1.5189.50%
9028.TZERO Co., Ltd.3.43%$138.3233.30%
MGLU3.SAMagazine Luiza S.A.3.43%$0.3061.17%
002555.SZ37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group Co., Ltd.3.42%$0.8156.85%
002993.SZDongguan Aohai Technology Co., Ltd.3.42%$1.5079.56%
2472.TWLelon Electronics Corp.3.42%$4.0255.54%
3060.SRYanbu Cement Company3.42%$0.5071.47%
3116.TToyota Boshoku Corporation3.42%$85.9881.58%
4299.THIMACS, Ltd.3.42%$44.9543.10%
CGAS3.SACompanhia de Gás de São Paulo - COMGÁS3.42%$4.1133.65%
HSN.AXHansen Technologies Limited3.42%$0.1857.93%
2291.HKLEPU ScienTech Medical Technology (Shanghai) Co., Ltd.3.41%$0.5638.72%
3355.TKuriyama Holdings Corporation3.41%$56.5527.28%
600638.SSShanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group Co., Ltd.3.41%$0.2291.32%
OFSS.BOOracle Financial Services Software Limited3.41%$263.6797.03%
SVI.BKSVI Public Company Limited3.41%$0.2562.32%
2428.TWellnet Corporation3.40%$22.0138.29%
600572.SSZhejiang CONBA Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd.3.40%$0.1555.59%
601216.SSInner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical Group Co.,Ltd.3.40%$0.1641.07%
7447.TNagaileben Co., Ltd.3.40%$61.1173.38%
AHOG.DEKoninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V.3.40%$1.1951.79%
CRC-R.BKCentral Retail Corporation Public Company Limited3.40%$0.6152.01%
SSM.AXService Stream Limited3.40%$0.0853.67%
TGHTextainer Group Holdings Limited3.40%$1.7034.66%
TRA.AXTurners Automotive Group Limited3.40%$0.2439.34%
0RD8.LXior Student Housing N.V.3.39%$0.9949.30%