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Definitive Analysis

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Evercore Inc. (EVR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$206.77 - $402.90$284.55
Multi-Stage$157.94 - $172.31$165.00
Blended Fair Value$224.77
Current Price$337.32
Upside-33.37%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.01%13.36%3.193.002.982.792.502.271.811.331.211.08
YoY Growth--6.23%0.48%7.15%11.43%10.10%25.23%36.77%9.63%11.76%19.04%
Dividend Yield--1.60%1.58%2.59%2.50%1.90%4.93%1.94%1.52%1.55%2.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)528.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)142.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)385.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)105.6866.0539.63
Cash Retained (M)385.64385.64385.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-105.68-66.05-39.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)279.96319.59346.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)42.6342.6342.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.577.508.12
LTM Dividend per Share3.353.353.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.577.508.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.9210.8411.46
WACC / Discount Rate10.56%10.56%10.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$206.77$284.55$402.90
Upside / Downside-38.70%-15.64%19.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)528.40562.75599.33638.28679.77723.96745.68
Payout Ratio27.02%39.61%52.21%64.81%77.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)142.76222.93312.91413.65526.17651.56689.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.56%10.56%10.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)199.75201.64203.53
Year 2 PV (M)251.21256.00260.83
Year 3 PV (M)297.55306.10314.80
Year 4 PV (M)339.13352.17365.58
Year 5 PV (M)376.27394.45413.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,269.635,524.155,788.42
Equity Value (M)6,733.547,034.507,346.48
Shares Outstanding (M)42.6342.6342.63
Fair Value$157.94$165.00$172.31
Upside / Downside-53.18%-51.09%-48.92%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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