Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Ticker

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Sector

Evercore Inc. (EVR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$207.24 - $404.40$285.35
Multi-Stage$158.20 - $172.60$165.27
Blended Fair Value$225.31
Current Price$337.32
Upside-33.21%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.01%13.36%3.193.002.982.792.502.271.811.331.211.08
YoY Growth--6.23%0.48%7.15%11.43%10.10%25.23%36.77%9.63%11.76%19.04%
Dividend Yield--1.60%1.58%2.59%2.50%1.90%4.93%1.94%1.52%1.55%2.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)528.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)142.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)385.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)105.6866.0539.63
Cash Retained (M)385.64385.64385.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-105.68-66.05-39.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)279.96319.59346.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)42.6342.6342.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.577.508.12
LTM Dividend per Share3.353.353.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.577.508.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.9210.8411.46
WACC / Discount Rate10.55%10.55%10.55%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$207.24$285.35$404.40
Upside / Downside-38.56%-15.41%19.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)528.40562.75599.33638.28679.77723.96745.68
Payout Ratio27.02%39.61%52.21%64.81%77.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)142.76222.93312.91413.65526.17651.56689.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.55%10.55%10.55%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)199.77201.66203.55
Year 2 PV (M)251.27256.05260.88
Year 3 PV (M)297.65306.19314.90
Year 4 PV (M)339.27352.31365.73
Year 5 PV (M)376.47394.65413.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,280.325,535.375,800.17
Equity Value (M)6,744.737,046.237,358.76
Shares Outstanding (M)42.6342.6342.63
Fair Value$158.20$165.27$172.60
Upside / Downside-53.10%-51.00%-48.83%

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