Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$321.17 - $1,565.63$571.17
Multi-Stage$196.60 - $214.83$205.55
Blended Fair Value$388.36
Current Price$112.12
Upside246.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS28.82%22.26%3.796.159.344.871.491.070.800.700.680.67
YoY Growth---38.36%-34.23%91.80%226.99%39.55%34.28%13.33%3.67%1.59%31.22%
Dividend Yield--2.95%4.74%8.15%4.09%2.05%2.97%0.82%0.67%0.70%0.92%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,530.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,120.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,410.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,106.00691.25414.75
Cash Retained (M)3,410.003,410.003,410.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,106.00-691.25-414.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,304.002,718.752,995.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)551.00551.00551.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.184.935.44
LTM Dividend per Share3.853.853.85
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.184.935.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.038.789.28
WACC / Discount Rate8.14%8.14%8.14%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$321.17$571.17$1,565.63
Upside / Downside186.45%409.43%1,296.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,530.005,889.456,272.266,679.967,114.167,576.587,803.88
Payout Ratio38.34%48.67%59.00%69.33%79.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,120.002,866.343,700.754,631.525,667.666,818.927,218.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.14%8.14%8.14%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,625.762,650.652,675.54
Year 2 PV (M)3,105.583,164.743,224.45
Year 3 PV (M)3,560.443,662.653,766.79
Year 4 PV (M)3,991.274,144.764,302.64
Year 5 PV (M)4,398.964,611.434,832.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)90,644.1595,022.2999,568.00
Equity Value (M)108,326.15113,256.51118,369.45
Shares Outstanding (M)551.00551.00551.00
Fair Value$196.60$205.55$214.83
Upside / Downside75.35%83.33%91.60%

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