Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Datang International Power Generation Co., Ltd. (601991.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Independent Power ProducersSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.93 - $33.97$16.31
Multi-Stage$10.41 - $11.40$10.90
Blended Fair Value$13.60
Current Price$3.39
Upside301.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS30.02%-6.17%0.370.410.430.090.060.100.550.410.520.67
YoY Growth---8.92%-4.26%368.29%40.00%-35.00%-81.94%35.17%-20.78%-22.47%-5.08%
Dividend Yield--12.60%13.97%14.06%3.82%2.30%4.88%15.86%11.13%10.47%15.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,788.91
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,464.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,324.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,357.78848.61509.17
Cash Retained (M)2,324.882,324.882,324.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,357.78-848.61-509.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)967.101,476.271,815.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18,506.7118,506.7118,506.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.080.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.080.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.290.320.34
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate3.28%4.28%5.28%
Fair Value$9.93$16.31$33.97
Upside / Downside192.98%381.24%901.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,788.917,079.667,382.867,699.048,028.778,372.618,623.79
Payout Ratio65.75%70.60%75.45%80.30%85.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,464.034,998.515,570.576,182.476,836.577,535.357,977.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate3.28%4.28%5.28%
Year 1 PV (M)4,655.664,700.744,745.82
Year 2 PV (M)4,832.624,926.665,021.60
Year 3 PV (M)4,995.595,142.105,291.45
Year 4 PV (M)5,145.225,347.405,555.48
Year 5 PV (M)5,282.155,542.865,813.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)167,697.05175,974.14184,574.88
Equity Value (M)192,608.29201,633.90211,002.99
Shares Outstanding (M)18,506.7118,506.7118,506.71
Fair Value$10.41$10.90$11.40
Upside / Downside207.01%221.39%236.33%

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