Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Shenzhen AV-Display Co., Ltd. (300939.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.76 - $8.64$7.13
Multi-Stage$7.83 - $8.56$8.19
Blended Fair Value$7.66
Current Price$34.39
Upside-77.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS5.73%0.00%0.390.400.400.330.000.300.070.100.020.00
YoY Growth---0.92%0.00%20.00%7,579.39%-98.55%339.72%-32.74%546.61%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.32%1.24%1.18%1.09%0.01%0.72%0.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)81.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)47.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)33.54
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.2510.156.09
Cash Retained (M)33.5433.5433.54
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.25-10.15-6.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)17.2923.3927.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)121.01121.01121.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.190.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.390.390.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.190.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.540.590.62
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate0.62%1.62%2.62%
Fair Value$5.76$7.13$8.64
Upside / Downside-83.24%-79.27%-74.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)81.2382.5483.8885.2586.6388.0390.68
Payout Ratio58.71%64.97%71.23%77.48%83.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)47.6953.6359.7566.0572.5479.2383.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate0.62%1.62%2.62%
Year 1 PV (M)48.2748.7549.23
Year 2 PV (M)48.4149.3850.36
Year 3 PV (M)48.1849.6351.11
Year 4 PV (M)47.6349.5551.53
Year 5 PV (M)46.8349.2051.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)708.49744.40781.76
Equity Value (M)947.82990.921,035.66
Shares Outstanding (M)121.01121.01121.01
Fair Value$7.83$8.19$8.56
Upside / Downside-77.22%-76.19%-75.11%

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