Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Logista Integral, S.A. (LOG.MC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$215.32 - $515.81$483.39
Multi-Stage$77.82 - $85.06$81.37
Blended Fair Value$282.38
Current Price$28.90
Upside877.10%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS11.70%10.02%2.081.911.431.251.191.201.141.100.950.75
YoY Growth--8.91%33.42%14.29%4.91%-0.17%5.23%3.58%15.78%26.52%-6.43%
Dividend Yield--7.20%6.55%5.85%5.31%6.82%7.55%5.66%5.02%4.94%3.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)343.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)275.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)67.91
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)68.7742.9825.79
Cash Retained (M)67.9167.9167.91
(-) Cash Required (M)-68.77-42.98-25.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.8624.9342.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)132.58132.58132.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.190.32
LTM Dividend per Share2.082.082.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.190.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.072.272.40
WACC / Discount Rate6.52%6.52%6.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$215.32$483.39$515.81
Upside / Downside645.04%1,572.63%1,684.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)343.85366.20390.01415.36442.36471.11485.24
Payout Ratio80.25%82.20%84.15%86.10%88.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)275.94301.02328.19357.62389.50424.00448.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.52%6.52%6.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)279.95282.60285.26
Year 2 PV (M)283.86289.26294.72
Year 3 PV (M)287.66295.92304.33
Year 4 PV (M)291.37302.57314.10
Year 5 PV (M)294.98309.23324.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,879.709,308.599,753.89
Equity Value (M)10,317.5110,788.1711,276.33
Shares Outstanding (M)132.58132.58132.58
Fair Value$77.82$81.37$85.06
Upside / Downside169.29%181.57%194.31%

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