Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Analysis Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

The Walt Disney Company (DIS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: EntertainmentSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$110.55 - $212.89$151.46
Multi-Stage$98.93 - $108.30$103.53
Blended Fair Value$127.50
Current Price$113.47
Upside12.36%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS2.58%-5.16%1.000.750.000.000.000.881.601.391.351.28
YoY Growth--31.99%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-45.18%15.11%2.86%5.71%-24.49%
Dividend Yield--0.88%0.68%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.48%1.10%1.27%1.21%1.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,404.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)905.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)11,499.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,480.801,550.50930.30
Cash Retained (M)11,499.0011,499.0011,499.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,480.80-1,550.50-930.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,018.209,948.5010,568.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,812.001,812.001,812.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.985.495.83
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.985.495.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.485.996.33
WACC / Discount Rate9.21%9.21%9.21%
Growth Rate4.05%5.05%6.05%
Fair Value$110.55$151.46$212.89
Upside / Downside-2.57%33.48%87.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,404.0013,030.7413,689.1414,380.8115,107.4315,870.7716,346.89
Payout Ratio7.30%23.84%40.38%56.92%73.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)905.003,106.115,527.358,185.3311,097.8014,283.6915,120.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.21%9.21%9.21%
Growth Rate4.05%5.05%6.05%
Year 1 PV (M)2,817.172,844.242,871.32
Year 2 PV (M)4,546.814,634.634,723.28
Year 3 PV (M)6,106.916,284.686,465.87
Year 4 PV (M)7,509.617,802.498,103.84
Year 5 PV (M)8,766.309,195.729,641.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)149,507.30156,830.93164,438.79
Equity Value (M)179,254.10187,592.68196,244.90
Shares Outstanding (M)1,812.001,812.001,812.00
Fair Value$98.93$103.53$108.30
Upside / Downside-12.82%-8.76%-4.55%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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