Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Theon International PLC (THEON.AS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.14 - $10.21$8.65
Multi-Stage$11.63 - $12.74$12.17
Blended Fair Value$10.41
Current Price$30.45
Upside-65.81%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.210.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.87%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)72.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)38.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)34.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.569.105.46
Cash Retained (M)34.5634.5634.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.56-9.10-5.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)20.0025.4629.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)69.5869.5869.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.290.370.42
LTM Dividend per Share0.550.550.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.290.370.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.840.920.97
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7.14$8.65$10.21
Upside / Downside-76.54%-71.60%-66.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)72.7972.0771.3570.6369.9369.2371.30
Payout Ratio52.53%60.02%67.52%75.01%82.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)38.2443.2648.1752.9857.6962.3065.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)39.1139.5139.91
Year 2 PV (M)39.3840.1941.01
Year 3 PV (M)39.1740.3841.61
Year 4 PV (M)38.5640.1641.81
Year 5 PV (M)37.6539.6141.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)615.14647.17680.52
Equity Value (M)809.01847.02886.51
Shares Outstanding (M)69.5869.5869.58
Fair Value$11.63$12.17$12.74
Upside / Downside-61.82%-60.02%-58.16%

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