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Deutsche Post AG

ID: DHL.DE SECTOR: Industrials INDUSTRY: Integrated Freight & Logistics
49.28
-0.61 (-1.22%)
Ref: 2026-04-21

Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $44.34 - $62.23 $52.67
Multi-Stage DDM $33.84 - $37.16 $35.47
Blended Fair Value $44.07
Stock Price$49.14

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS 1.8461.8261.8201.7801.3261.1241.1291.1251.0070.817
YoY % 1.08%0.34%2.22%34.31%17.97%-0.46%0.30%11.74%23.32%0.12%
Yield 3.76%3.72%3.70%3.62%2.70%2.29%2.30%2.29%2.05%1.66%

CAGRValue
5 Year10.43%
10 Year8.51%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth -0.60% to 1.40% 0.40%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $44.34 - $62.23 $52.67

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 4,095.82 4,095.82 4,095.82
(=) Cash Required 819.16 511.98 307.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share 2.44 2.66 2.82
LTM Dividend per Share 1.846 1.846 1.846
(=) Adjusted Dividend 4.281 4.509 4.661

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 4,095.82 4,112.374,128.994,145.684,162.434,179.25
Projected Dividends 2,483.70 1,028.091,692.892,363.043,038.583,761.33

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 974.93 984.73 994.54
Year 2 PV 1,458.12 1,487.61 1,517.39
Year 3 PV 1,848.68 1,905.04 1,962.53
Year 4 PV 2,159.18 2,247.38 2,338.26
Year 5 PV 2,427.65 2,552.24 2,681.90
TV PV 36,667.69 38,549.55 40,507.89
Equity Value 45,536.26 47,726.56 50,002.52
Fair Value $33.84 $35.47 $37.16

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