Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PT Surya Pertiwi Tbk (SPTO.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,607.21 - $7,878.72$4,142.72
Multi-Stage$2,832.23 - $3,102.27$2,964.73
Blended Fair Value$3,553.73
Current Price$660.00
Upside438.44%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.57%0.00%60.0050.0050.0035.0040.0038.0065.9377.7861.3754.24
YoY Growth--20.00%0.00%42.86%-12.50%5.26%-42.36%-15.24%26.75%13.14%0.00%
Dividend Yield--9.76%8.93%9.09%6.31%8.44%6.28%6.87%6.54%5.16%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)279,669.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)190,400.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)89,269.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)55,933.9334,958.7120,975.22
Cash Retained (M)89,269.6589,269.6589,269.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-55,933.93-34,958.71-20,975.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)33,335.7254,310.9568,294.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,700.002,700.002,700.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share12.3520.1225.29
LTM Dividend per Share70.5270.5270.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share12.3520.1225.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend82.8790.6395.81
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate3.17%4.17%5.17%
Fair Value$2,607.21$4,142.72$7,878.72
Upside / Downside295.03%527.69%1,093.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)279,669.65291,319.58303,454.80316,095.52329,262.81342,978.59353,267.95
Payout Ratio68.08%72.46%76.85%81.23%85.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)190,400.00211,102.57233,199.53256,771.12281,901.86308,680.73326,772.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate3.17%4.17%5.17%
Year 1 PV (M)196,417.79198,321.70200,225.60
Year 2 PV (M)201,884.16205,816.92209,787.62
Year 3 PV (M)206,827.39212,900.31219,090.95
Year 4 PV (M)211,274.51219,586.05228,140.45
Year 5 PV (M)215,251.40225,887.94236,940.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,615,368.826,942,263.907,281,955.81
Equity Value (M)7,647,024.078,004,776.818,376,141.28
Shares Outstanding (M)2,700.002,700.002,700.00
Fair Value$2,832.23$2,964.73$3,102.27
Upside / Downside329.13%349.20%370.04%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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