Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PJSC TNS energo Kuban (KBSB.ME)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,223.92 - $3,631.12$1,934.67
Multi-Stage$1,355.21 - $1,486.49$1,419.62
Blended Fair Value$1,677.14
Current Price$539.00
Upside211.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.65%0.00%14.8617.990.000.053.9813.694.260.000.000.00
YoY Growth---17.42%8,035,825.00%-99.53%-98.81%-70.94%221.44%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.60%3.75%0.00%0.03%3.10%10.37%3.23%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)880.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)321.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)559.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)176.13110.0866.05
Cash Retained (M)559.21559.21559.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-176.13-110.08-66.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)383.08449.12493.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.8717.8717.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share21.4425.1327.60
LTM Dividend per Share17.9917.9917.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share21.4425.1327.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend39.4343.1245.59
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate3.01%4.01%5.01%
Fair Value$1,223.92$1,934.67$3,631.12
Upside / Downside127.07%258.94%573.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)880.64915.98952.74990.971,030.741,072.101,104.26
Payout Ratio36.50%47.20%57.90%68.60%79.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)321.44432.35551.64679.81817.37964.891,021.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate3.01%4.01%5.01%
Year 1 PV (M)402.69406.60410.51
Year 2 PV (M)478.56487.90497.33
Year 3 PV (M)549.31565.46581.93
Year 4 PV (M)615.17639.41664.35
Year 5 PV (M)676.39709.86744.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,494.3122,558.0423,663.48
Equity Value (M)24,216.4325,367.2826,562.25
Shares Outstanding (M)17.8717.8717.87
Fair Value$1,355.21$1,419.62$1,486.49
Upside / Downside151.43%163.38%175.79%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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