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DTE Energy Company JR SUB DB 2017 E (DTW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$42.73 - $65.26$53.27
Multi-Stage$64.27 - $70.20$67.18
Blended Fair Value$60.23
Current Price$141.43
Upside-57.42%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.32%5.14%3.753.633.313.823.673.342.992.862.562.42
YoY Growth--3.19%9.78%-13.40%4.08%9.83%11.61%4.73%11.49%5.99%6.60%
Dividend Yield--2.71%3.28%3.02%2.89%3.24%4.14%2.84%3.22%2.95%3.14%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)968.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)844.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)124.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)193.60121.0072.60
Cash Retained (M)124.01124.01124.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-193.60-121.00-72.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)-69.593.0151.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)207.04207.04207.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.340.010.25
LTM Dividend per Share4.084.084.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.340.010.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.744.094.32
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate0.32%1.32%2.32%
Fair Value$42.73$53.27$65.26
Upside / Downside-69.78%-62.33%-53.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)968.01980.77993.691,006.791,020.051,033.491,064.50
Payout Ratio87.19%87.75%88.31%88.88%89.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)844.00860.64877.56894.79912.31930.15984.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate0.32%1.32%2.32%
Year 1 PV (M)781.08788.86796.65
Year 2 PV (M)722.82737.30751.93
Year 3 PV (M)668.88689.08709.69
Year 4 PV (M)618.94643.99669.79
Year 5 PV (M)572.70601.82632.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,942.0810,447.5810,973.45
Equity Value (M)13,306.4913,908.6414,533.61
Shares Outstanding (M)207.04207.04207.04
Fair Value$64.27$67.18$70.20
Upside / Downside-54.56%-52.50%-50.37%

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