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Popular Capital Trust II PFD GTD 6.125% (BPOPM)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BanksSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$227.55 - $603.64$347.95
Multi-Stage$156.24 - $170.67$163.32
Blended Fair Value$255.64
Current Price$25.84
Upside889.31%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.28%47.42%2.542.252.281.991.881.631.491.350.930.27
YoY Growth--12.89%-1.03%14.17%5.85%15.40%9.83%9.94%45.47%242.38%417.24%
Dividend Yield--9.84%8.88%8.77%7.80%7.30%6.94%5.85%6.00%4.11%1.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)688.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)185.38
(=) Cash Retained (M)503.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)137.6986.0551.63
Cash Retained (M)503.05503.05503.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-137.69-86.05-51.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)365.36416.99451.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)70.9770.9770.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.155.886.36
LTM Dividend per Share2.612.612.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.155.886.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.768.498.97
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$227.55$347.95$603.64
Upside / Downside780.63%1,246.57%2,236.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)688.43733.18780.84831.59885.64943.21971.51
Payout Ratio26.93%39.54%52.16%64.77%77.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)185.38289.92407.26538.63685.36848.89898.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)263.25265.74268.24
Year 2 PV (M)335.77342.17348.62
Year 3 PV (M)403.23414.80426.60
Year 4 PV (M)465.87483.78502.21
Year 5 PV (M)523.94549.25575.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,095.589,534.909,991.03
Equity Value (M)11,087.6311,590.6412,112.22
Shares Outstanding (M)70.9770.9770.97
Fair Value$156.24$163.32$170.67
Upside / Downside504.63%532.06%560.50%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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