Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Catering International & Services S.A. (ALCIS.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.40 - $28.14$21.47
Multi-Stage$16.33 - $17.85$17.08
Blended Fair Value$19.28
Current Price$9.58
Upside101.22%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.50%1.90%0.160.160.160.000.000.120.110.060.120.19
YoY Growth---1.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%9.04%83.61%-50.05%-33.31%38.47%
Dividend Yield--1.74%1.85%1.70%0.00%0.00%0.93%1.24%0.36%0.73%1.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.971.230.74
Cash Retained (M)7.237.237.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.97-1.23-0.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)5.266.006.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.797.797.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.680.770.83
LTM Dividend per Share0.340.340.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.680.770.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.011.111.17
WACC / Discount Rate9.89%9.89%9.89%
Growth Rate3.50%4.50%5.50%
Fair Value$16.40$21.47$28.14
Upside / Downside71.22%124.16%193.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9.8610.3010.7611.2511.7512.2812.65
Payout Ratio26.64%39.31%51.98%64.66%77.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.634.055.607.279.0911.0511.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.89%9.89%9.89%
Growth Rate3.50%4.50%5.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3.653.683.72
Year 2 PV (M)4.554.634.72
Year 3 PV (M)5.325.485.64
Year 4 PV (M)6.006.236.48
Year 5 PV (M)6.586.907.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)101.08106.06111.23
Equity Value (M)127.17132.99139.02
Shares Outstanding (M)7.797.797.79
Fair Value$16.33$17.08$17.85
Upside / Downside70.48%78.27%86.36%

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