Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

XAC Automation Corporation (5490.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Business Equipment & SuppliesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.77 - $13.87$11.79
Multi-Stage$14.82 - $16.27$15.53
Blended Fair Value$13.66
Current Price$32.05
Upside-57.38%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.001.232.031.510.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%-39.11%33.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%4.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)138.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)32.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)105.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.6617.2910.37
Cash Retained (M)105.68105.68105.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.66-17.29-10.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)78.0288.3995.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)93.7393.7393.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.830.941.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.830.941.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.181.291.36
WACC / Discount Rate9.84%9.84%9.84%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$9.77$11.79$13.87
Upside / Downside-69.52%-63.22%-56.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)138.28136.90135.53134.18132.83131.51135.45
Payout Ratio23.58%36.86%50.15%63.43%76.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)32.6050.4667.9685.11101.90118.36125.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.84%9.84%9.84%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)45.4845.9446.41
Year 2 PV (M)55.2056.3357.47
Year 3 PV (M)62.2964.2266.19
Year 4 PV (M)67.2270.0172.88
Year 5 PV (M)70.3674.0277.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,088.731,145.421,204.45
Equity Value (M)1,389.281,455.941,525.23
Shares Outstanding (M)93.7393.7393.73
Fair Value$14.82$15.53$16.27
Upside / Downside-53.75%-51.53%-49.23%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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