Definitive Analysis | Institutional-Grade Financial Research
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

Origin Energy Limited (ORG.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas IntegratedSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$53.18 - $267.70$95.17
Multi-Stage$43.69 - $47.81$45.71
Blended Fair Value$70.44
Current Price$10.79
Upside552.81%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS15.84%6.12%0.570.470.330.180.200.280.100.000.000.24
YoY Growth--21.00%44.19%81.47%-8.21%-28.21%187.88%8,150.00%0.00%-99.52%-23.58%
Dividend Yield--5.32%4.34%3.91%3.16%4.38%4.71%1.29%0.01%0.02%4.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,878.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,810.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,068.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)575.60359.75215.85
Cash Retained (M)1,068.001,068.001,068.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-575.60-359.75-215.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)492.40708.25852.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,726.401,726.401,726.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.290.410.49
LTM Dividend per Share1.051.051.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.290.410.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.331.461.54
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate4.12%5.12%6.12%
Fair Value$53.18$95.17$267.70
Upside / Downside392.84%781.97%2,380.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,878.003,025.433,180.423,343.353,514.623,694.663,805.50
Payout Ratio62.89%68.31%73.73%79.16%84.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,810.002,066.762,345.072,646.472,972.603,325.203,520.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate4.12%5.12%6.12%
Year 1 PV (M)1,917.941,936.361,954.78
Year 2 PV (M)2,019.512,058.492,097.84
Year 3 PV (M)2,114.972,176.502,239.20
Year 4 PV (M)2,204.552,290.472,378.87
Year 5 PV (M)2,288.482,400.502,516.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)64,878.2268,054.1171,353.16
Equity Value (M)75,423.6778,916.4282,540.73
Shares Outstanding (M)1,726.401,726.401,726.40
Fair Value$43.69$45.71$47.81
Upside / Downside304.90%323.65%343.10%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 3 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
1272.HKDatang Environment Industry Group Co., Ltd.13.53%$0.1542.28%
MID-UN.TOMINT Income Fund13.47%$1.0661.55%
1126.HKDream International Limited13.45%$1.1550.50%
HCO.PAHigh Co. S.A.13.45%$0.5362.33%
2348.HKDawnrays Pharmaceutical (Holdings) Limited13.44%$0.1633.06%
0384.HKChina Gas Holdings Limited13.43%$1.0494.76%
AEFAbrdn Emerging Markets Equity Income Fund Inc13.42%$0.9661.57%
9616.HKNeutech Group Limited13.40%$0.3455.10%
WN-PA.TOGeorge Weston Limited13.36%$3.4127.39%
CY4.FKelsian Group Limited13.31%$0.3278.26%
1100.HKMainland Headwear Holdings Limited13.28%$0.1742.95%
1755.HKS-Enjoy Service Group Co., Limited13.28%$0.3733.22%
DRR.AXDeterra Royalties Limited13.28%$0.5593.57%
2942.TWOJing-Jan Retail Business Co., Ltd.13.27%$4.1962.94%
1985.HKMicroware Group Limited13.26%$0.1768.95%
SSG.AXShaver Shop Group Limited13.25%$0.2086.08%
1553.HKMaike Tube Industry Holdings Limited13.22%$0.2027.92%
3306.HKJNBY Design Limited13.22%$2.5577.85%
0363.HKShanghai Industrial Holdings Limited13.17%$1.9035.00%
0579.HKBeijing Jingneng Clean Energy Co., Limited13.09%$0.3042.68%
RI.PAPernod Ricard S.A.13.06%$9.5377.43%
VULC3.SAVulcabras S.A.13.05%$2.6060.16%
600919.SSBank of Jiangsu Co., Ltd.13.01%$1.3572.63%
1551.HKGuangzhou Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd.13.00%$0.2058.85%
EIT-UN.TOCanoe EIT Income Fund13.00%$2.0542.34%
4334.SRAl Maather Reit Fund12.98%$1.1689.22%
BCE-PA.TOBCE Inc.12.97%$2.7139.91%
HLO.AXHelloworld Travel Limited12.97%$0.2567.50%
4347.SRBonyan REIT Fund12.96%$1.2193.24%
1526.HKRici Healthcare Holdings Limited12.94%$0.1438.91%
3709.HKEEKA Fashion Holdings Limited12.93%$0.9958.41%
ELSA.JKPT Elnusa Tbk12.90%$65.7979.08%
3348.HKChina PengFei Group Limited12.88%$0.1642.43%
BAYU.JKPT Bayu Buana Tbk12.87%$175.0059.18%
MJLF.BKMajor Cineplex Lifestyle Leasehold Property Fund.12.81%$0.6246.37%
037460.KQSamji Electronics Co., Ltd.12.80%$1,880.7647.73%
1785.HKChengdu Expressway Co., Ltd.12.79%$0.2688.07%
GWO-PN.TOGreat-West Lifeco Inc.12.76%$2.3953.09%
UNC.TOUnited Corporations Limited12.75%$1.8760.14%
FDJ.PAFDJ United12.74%$3.8390.91%
IRAO.MEPJSC Inter RAO UES12.74%$0.3919.11%
0OGG.LS.A. Catana Group12.72%$0.3722.37%
TAPG.JKPT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk12.65%$191.0090.66%
2407.HKGaush Meditech Ltd12.64%$1.0277.13%
MPCK.DEMPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG12.63%$0.6260.64%
EDL.DEEdel SE & Co. KGaA12.60%$0.5754.20%
0086.HKSun Hung Kai & Co. Limited12.59%$0.5294.25%
4340.SRAl Rajhi REIT Fund12.56%$1.0083.50%
TRMDTORM plc12.54%$2.4890.35%
0819.HKTianneng Power International Limited12.50%$0.8935.06%