Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Whitbread plc (WTB.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Travel LodgingSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$43.09 - $84.11$59.34
Multi-Stage$72.30 - $79.34$75.75
Blended Fair Value$67.55
Current Price$26.74
Upside152.61%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS2.18%3.15%0.980.900.650.000.000.881.030.980.920.85
YoY Growth--8.14%38.29%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-14.67%5.52%6.28%7.74%18.76%
Dividend Yield--3.66%2.61%2.13%0.00%0.00%2.63%2.47%2.92%2.79%2.53%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)489.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)350.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)139.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)97.9061.1936.71
Cash Retained (M)139.50139.50139.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-97.90-61.19-36.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)41.6078.31102.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)182.03182.03182.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.230.430.56
LTM Dividend per Share1.921.921.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.230.430.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.152.352.49
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate1.15%2.15%3.15%
Fair Value$43.09$59.34$84.11
Upside / Downside61.13%121.91%214.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)489.50500.03510.78521.77532.99544.45560.78
Payout Ratio71.50%75.20%78.90%82.60%86.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)350.00376.03403.01430.98459.97490.01518.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate1.15%2.15%3.15%
Year 1 PV (M)350.60354.07357.54
Year 2 PV (M)350.36357.32364.35
Year 3 PV (M)349.34359.81370.48
Year 4 PV (M)347.63361.58375.95
Year 5 PV (M)345.29362.70380.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,418.0311,993.7112,592.38
Equity Value (M)13,161.2613,789.2014,441.50
Shares Outstanding (M)182.03182.03182.03
Fair Value$72.30$75.75$79.34
Upside / Downside170.40%183.30%196.70%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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