Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: GoldSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$41.36 - $87.77$58.73
Multi-Stage$30.65 - $33.45$32.03
Blended Fair Value$45.38
Current Price$89.80
Upside-49.47%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.51%13.34%0.610.580.520.480.370.290.290.270.170.15
YoY Growth--5.26%11.81%8.73%30.40%28.64%-2.20%9.01%54.92%14.75%-14.02%
Dividend Yield--0.79%1.22%1.08%1.01%0.96%1.04%1.23%1.32%0.83%0.91%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,001.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)292.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)709.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)200.32125.2075.12
Cash Retained (M)709.50709.50709.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-200.32-125.20-75.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)509.18584.30634.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)454.56454.56454.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.121.291.40
LTM Dividend per Share0.640.640.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.121.291.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.761.932.04
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$41.36$58.73$87.77
Upside / Downside-53.94%-34.60%-2.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,001.621,066.721,136.061,209.901,288.551,372.301,413.47
Payout Ratio29.16%41.33%53.50%65.67%77.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)292.11440.89607.77794.491,002.911,235.071,307.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)397.06400.82404.59
Year 2 PV (M)492.94502.32511.80
Year 3 PV (M)580.31596.97613.94
Year 4 PV (M)659.72685.09711.18
Year 5 PV (M)731.66767.00803.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,070.4411,605.1412,160.31
Equity Value (M)13,932.1214,557.3515,205.52
Shares Outstanding (M)454.56454.56454.56
Fair Value$30.65$32.03$33.45
Upside / Downside-65.87%-64.34%-62.75%

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