DDM Analysis: VANL.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1.37 - $3.81	$2.13
Multi-Stage	$0.94 - $1.03	$0.99
Blended Fair Value	$1.56
Current Price	$0.35
Upside	344.61%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	9.70%	21.39%	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-0.70%	-14.27%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-69.70%	4.76%	270.59%	61.52%	130.05%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.38%	3.61%	3.19%	0.00%	0.00%	2.25%	4.34%	2.82%	0.66%	0.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	6.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)	3.51

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1.21	0.76	0.45
Cash Retained (M)	3.51	3.51	3.51
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1.21	-0.76	-0.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2.29	2.75	3.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	107.56	107.56	107.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.02	0.03	0.03
LTM Dividend per Share	0.02	0.02	0.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.02	0.03	0.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.05	0.05	0.05
WACC / Discount Rate	8.97%	8.97%	8.97%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$1.37	$2.13	$3.81
Upside / Downside	291.47%	507.30%	989.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	6.06	6.45	6.87	7.32	7.79	8.30	8.55
Payout Ratio	42.12%	51.69%	61.27%	70.85%	80.42%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2.55	3.33	4.21	5.18	6.27	7.47	7.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.97%	8.97%	8.97%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	3.03	3.06	3.09
Year 2 PV (M)	3.48	3.54	3.61
Year 3 PV (M)	3.89	4.01	4.12
Year 4 PV (M)	4.28	4.44	4.61
Year 5 PV (M)	4.64	4.86	5.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)	82.24	86.21	90.34
Equity Value (M)	101.56	106.13	110.87
Shares Outstanding (M)	107.56	107.56	107.56
Fair Value	$0.94	$0.99	$1.03
Upside / Downside	169.79%	181.92%	194.50%

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Van Elle Holdings plc (VANL.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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