Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Unique Engineering and Construction Public Company Limited (UNIQ.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.10 - $8.74$7.39
Multi-Stage$16.22 - $17.93$17.06
Blended Fair Value$12.22
Current Price$3.20
Upside282.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-30.15%-8.02%0.050.000.000.000.270.300.330.330.270.19
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-10.17%-8.78%-0.04%22.11%42.13%64.69%
Dividend Yield--3.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%4.43%7.83%3.33%2.54%1.57%1.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)987.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)75.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)912.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)197.57123.4874.09
Cash Retained (M)912.21912.21912.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-197.57-123.48-74.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)714.63788.72838.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,081.011,081.011,081.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.660.730.78
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.660.730.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.730.800.85
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-4.97%-3.97%-2.97%
Fair Value$6.10$7.39$8.74
Upside / Downside90.66%131.01%173.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)987.87948.68911.04874.89840.18806.84831.05
Payout Ratio7.66%24.13%40.60%57.06%73.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)75.66228.89369.84499.25617.80726.16768.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-4.97%-3.97%-2.97%
Year 1 PV (M)212.84215.08217.32
Year 2 PV (M)319.80326.56333.40
Year 3 PV (M)401.43414.23427.31
Year 4 PV (M)461.92481.68502.05
Year 5 PV (M)504.88532.01560.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,627.9516,467.6817,343.12
Equity Value (M)17,528.8218,437.2419,383.50
Shares Outstanding (M)1,081.011,081.011,081.01
Fair Value$16.22$17.06$17.93
Upside / Downside406.72%432.99%460.34%

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