DDM Analysis: UCID.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$199.19 - $308.14	$249.72
Multi-Stage	$465.69 - $511.91	$488.35
Blended Fair Value	$369.03
Current Price	$500.00
Upside	-26.19%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	20.91	15.09	22.86	15.00	19.19	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	38.54%	-33.98%	52.43%	-21.83%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.32%	1.68%	1.90%	1.07%	1.16%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	88,993.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	70,088.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	18,905.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	17,798.60	11,124.13	6,674.48
Cash Retained (M)	18,905.00	18,905.00	18,905.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-17,798.60	-11,124.13	-6,674.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,106.40	7,780.88	12,230.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	4,156.57	4,156.57	4,156.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.27	1.87	2.94
LTM Dividend per Share	16.86	16.86	16.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.27	1.87	2.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend	17.13	18.73	19.80
WACC / Discount Rate	6.43%	6.43%	6.43%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$199.19	$249.72	$308.14
Upside / Downside	-60.16%	-50.06%	-38.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	88,993.00	88,103.07	87,222.04	86,349.82	85,486.32	84,631.46	87,170.40
Payout Ratio	78.76%	81.01%	83.25%	85.50%	87.75%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	70,088.00	71,368.25	72,615.88	73,831.43	75,015.40	76,168.31	80,632.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.43%	6.43%	6.43%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	66,381.01	67,058.37	67,735.72
Year 2 PV (M)	62,821.64	64,110.25	65,411.95
Year 3 PV (M)	59,409.75	61,247.03	63,121.82
Year 4 PV (M)	56,144.30	58,471.22	60,869.73
Year 5 PV (M)	53,023.50	55,784.56	58,659.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,637,883.61	1,723,172.01	1,811,976.91
Equity Value (M)	1,935,663.81	2,029,843.45	2,127,775.59
Shares Outstanding (M)	4,156.57	4,156.57	4,156.57
Fair Value	$465.69	$488.35	$511.91
Upside / Downside	-6.86%	-2.33%	2.38%

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PT Uni-Charm Indonesia Tbk (UCID.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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