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Siam Steel Service Center Public Company Limited (SSSC.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.76 - $8.62$6.37
Multi-Stage$8.33 - $9.15$8.73
Blended Fair Value$7.55
Current Price$2.06
Upside266.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.11%-5.23%0.220.180.230.110.160.160.160.220.160.26
YoY Growth--20.00%-19.56%116.98%-35.76%0.00%0.00%-25.00%37.50%-38.46%-31.58%
Dividend Yield--10.18%6.01%7.57%3.29%5.81%8.97%5.81%6.11%3.76%7.37%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)216.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)105.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)110.53
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)43.2327.0216.21
Cash Retained (M)110.53110.53110.53
(-) Cash Required (M)-43.23-27.02-16.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)67.3183.5294.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)640.00640.00640.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.130.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.130.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.270.300.31
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate0.63%1.63%2.63%
Fair Value$4.76$6.37$8.62
Upside / Downside130.84%209.04%318.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)216.13219.66223.24226.88230.59234.35241.38
Payout Ratio48.86%57.09%65.31%73.54%81.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)105.60125.39145.81166.86188.55210.91223.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate0.63%1.63%2.63%
Year 1 PV (M)116.75117.91119.07
Year 2 PV (M)126.40128.92131.47
Year 3 PV (M)134.67138.72142.86
Year 4 PV (M)141.69147.40153.29
Year 5 PV (M)147.56155.04162.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,664.794,901.225,147.14
Equity Value (M)5,331.855,589.215,856.65
Shares Outstanding (M)640.00640.00640.00
Fair Value$8.33$8.73$9.15
Upside / Downside304.42%323.94%344.23%

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