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Starflex Public Company Limited (SFLEX.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.15 - $4.89$3.95
Multi-Stage$7.38 - $8.12$7.74
Blended Fair Value$5.85
Current Price$2.76
Upside111.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.78%0.00%0.110.080.050.090.120.140.170.170.000.00
YoY Growth--38.32%61.07%-47.06%-26.09%-10.19%-21.25%3.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.70%2.41%1.28%2.00%2.15%5.47%8.91%8.65%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)257.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)146.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)110.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)51.4932.1819.31
Cash Retained (M)110.46110.46110.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-51.49-32.18-19.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)58.9878.2991.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)770.96770.96770.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.190.190.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.270.290.31
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.15$3.95$4.89
Upside / Downside14.04%43.23%77.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)257.43254.85252.30249.78247.28244.81252.15
Payout Ratio57.09%63.67%70.25%76.84%83.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)146.96162.27177.25191.92206.28220.33233.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)151.08152.63154.17
Year 2 PV (M)153.66156.81160.00
Year 3 PV (M)154.91159.70164.59
Year 4 PV (M)155.03161.45168.08
Year 5 PV (M)154.18162.20170.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,920.785,177.025,443.82
Equity Value (M)5,689.655,969.826,261.22
Shares Outstanding (M)770.96770.96770.96
Fair Value$7.38$7.74$8.12
Upside / Downside167.39%180.56%194.25%

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