Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Segmen Kardesler Gid Urt Ve Amblj Sny AS (SEGMN.IS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.49 - $17.85$14.43
Multi-Stage$27.22 - $29.94$28.55
Blended Fair Value$21.49
Current Price$23.18
Upside-7.29%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.300.240.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--27.96%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.32%0.87%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)217.91
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)151.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)66.74
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)43.5827.2416.34
Cash Retained (M)66.7466.7466.74
(-) Cash Required (M)-43.58-27.24-16.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)23.1639.5150.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)179.00179.00179.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.220.28
LTM Dividend per Share0.840.840.84
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.220.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.971.071.13
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$11.49$14.43$17.85
Upside / Downside-50.45%-37.76%-23.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)217.91215.73213.57211.44209.32207.23213.45
Payout Ratio69.37%73.50%77.62%81.75%85.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)151.17158.55165.78172.85179.76186.51197.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)147.64149.14150.65
Year 2 PV (M)143.74146.69149.66
Year 3 PV (M)139.55143.86148.26
Year 4 PV (M)135.13140.73146.50
Year 5 PV (M)130.55137.35144.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,175.734,393.174,619.57
Equity Value (M)4,872.335,110.945,359.09
Shares Outstanding (M)179.00179.00179.00
Fair Value$27.22$28.55$29.94
Upside / Downside17.43%23.18%29.16%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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