Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Salik Company P.J.S.C. (SALIK.AE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Infrastructure OperationsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.77 - $2.76$2.23
Multi-Stage$4.32 - $4.75$4.53
Blended Fair Value$3.38
Current Price$6.05
Upside-44.17%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.150.140.110.160.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--5.33%25.72%-32.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.90%3.71%3.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,390.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,164.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)226.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)278.13173.83104.30
Cash Retained (M)226.08226.08226.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-278.13-173.83-104.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)-52.0552.25121.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7,500.007,500.007,500.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.010.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.010.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.150.160.17
WACC / Discount Rate6.21%6.21%6.21%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.77$2.23$2.76
Upside / Downside-70.74%-63.19%-54.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,390.641,376.731,362.971,349.341,335.841,322.491,362.16
Payout Ratio83.74%84.99%86.25%87.50%88.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,164.561,170.141,175.501,180.631,185.541,190.241,260.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.21%6.21%6.21%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,090.571,101.701,112.83
Year 2 PV (M)1,021.071,042.011,063.17
Year 3 PV (M)955.79985.351,015.51
Year 4 PV (M)894.50931.57969.79
Year 5 PV (M)836.97880.56925.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)27,581.8329,018.0830,513.55
Equity Value (M)32,380.7433,959.2835,600.78
Shares Outstanding (M)7,500.007,500.007,500.00
Fair Value$4.32$4.53$4.75
Upside / Downside-28.64%-25.16%-21.54%

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