Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Redde Northgate plc (REDD.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$45.48 - $212.53$101.30
Multi-Stage$24.21 - $26.47$25.32
Blended Fair Value$63.31
Current Price$3.36
Upside1,784.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS17.45%24.75%0.210.180.100.100.100.100.090.080.060.05
YoY Growth--18.96%76.10%2.45%3.85%0.28%6.81%8.76%37.70%19.40%113.92%
Dividend Yield--5.76%4.55%2.82%5.56%2.62%2.59%1.69%2.05%0.93%0.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)259.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)104.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)155.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)51.9732.4819.49
Cash Retained (M)155.69155.69155.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-51.97-32.48-19.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)103.72123.21136.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)243.16243.16243.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.430.510.56
LTM Dividend per Share0.430.430.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.430.510.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.850.940.99
WACC / Discount Rate7.48%7.48%7.48%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$45.48$101.30$212.53
Upside / Downside1,253.66%2,914.99%6,225.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)259.86276.75294.74313.89334.30356.03366.71
Payout Ratio40.09%50.07%60.05%70.03%80.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)104.17138.56176.99219.83267.49320.42339.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.48%7.48%7.48%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)127.71128.92130.13
Year 2 PV (M)150.34153.21156.10
Year 3 PV (M)172.10177.04182.07
Year 4 PV (M)193.00200.43208.06
Year 5 PV (M)213.08223.37234.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,031.555,274.585,526.90
Equity Value (M)5,887.786,157.536,437.32
Shares Outstanding (M)243.16243.16243.16
Fair Value$24.21$25.32$26.47
Upside / Downside620.64%653.66%687.90%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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