DDM Analysis: RAUTE.HE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$70.59 - $385.82	$137.05
Multi-Stage	$53.25 - $58.36	$55.76
Blended Fair Value	$96.40
Current Price	$14.00
Upside	588.60%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-36.77%	-11.31%	0.10	0.00	0.00	0.54	0.99	0.95	0.85	0.67	0.53	0.38
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-44.82%	3.59%	12.18%	26.07%	27.76%	37.11%	20.27%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.61%	0.00%	0.00%	3.32%	4.57%	4.79%	3.17%	2.32%	2.49%	2.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	12.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	3.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)	8.99

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2.46	1.54	0.92
Cash Retained (M)	8.99	8.99	8.99
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2.46	-1.54	-0.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)	6.53	7.45	8.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	6.27	6.27	6.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.04	1.19	1.29
LTM Dividend per Share	0.53	0.53	0.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.04	1.19	1.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.57	1.72	1.82
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	4.22%	5.22%	6.22%
Fair Value	$70.59	$137.05	$385.82
Upside / Downside	404.23%	878.92%	2,655.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	12.31	12.95	13.63	14.34	15.09	15.88	16.35
Payout Ratio	26.97%	39.57%	52.18%	64.79%	77.39%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	3.32	5.13	7.11	9.29	11.68	14.29	15.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	4.22%	5.22%	6.22%
Year 1 PV (M)	4.77	4.81	4.86
Year 2 PV (M)	6.15	6.27	6.39
Year 3 PV (M)	7.47	7.68	7.90
Year 4 PV (M)	8.73	9.06	9.41
Year 5 PV (M)	9.93	10.41	10.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)	296.87	311.38	326.46
Equity Value (M)	333.90	349.62	365.94
Shares Outstanding (M)	6.27	6.27	6.27
Fair Value	$53.25	$55.76	$58.36
Upside / Downside	280.36%	298.28%	316.87%

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Raute Oyj (RAUTE.HE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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