Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

New Zealand Rural Land Company Limited (NZL.NZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.43 - $3.81$3.06
Multi-Stage$5.77 - $6.37$6.06
Blended Fair Value$4.56
Current Price$0.92
Upside396.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.95%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)33.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)32.74
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.794.242.54
Cash Retained (M)32.7432.7432.74
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.79-4.24-2.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)25.9628.5030.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)136.17136.17136.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.210.22
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.210.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.200.220.23
WACC / Discount Rate6.05%6.05%6.05%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.43$3.06$3.81
Upside / Downside163.87%232.93%314.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)33.9333.5933.2632.9332.6032.2733.24
Payout Ratio3.51%20.81%38.10%55.40%72.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.196.9912.6718.2423.7029.0430.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.05%6.05%6.05%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)6.526.596.66
Year 2 PV (M)11.0411.2711.50
Year 3 PV (M)14.8415.3015.76
Year 4 PV (M)17.9918.7419.51
Year 5 PV (M)20.5821.6522.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)714.94752.17790.93
Equity Value (M)785.91825.71867.12
Shares Outstanding (M)136.17136.17136.17
Fair Value$5.77$6.06$6.37
Upside / Downside527.34%559.11%592.16%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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