Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Nyfosa AB (publ) (NYF.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.70 - $41.31$33.47
Multi-Stage$60.98 - $67.12$63.99
Blended Fair Value$48.73
Current Price$82.05
Upside-40.61%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.923.633.312.930.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---74.70%9.74%12.97%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.05%3.55%4.59%2.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)597.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)291.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)306.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)119.4074.6344.78
Cash Retained (M)306.00306.00306.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-119.40-74.63-44.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)186.60231.38261.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)208.09208.09208.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.901.111.26
LTM Dividend per Share1.401.401.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.901.111.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.302.512.65
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$26.70$33.47$41.31
Upside / Downside-67.46%-59.20%-49.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)597.00591.03585.12579.27573.48567.74584.77
Payout Ratio48.74%56.99%65.25%73.50%81.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)291.00336.86381.77425.75468.81510.97540.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)313.33316.52319.72
Year 2 PV (M)330.29337.07343.91
Year 3 PV (M)342.61353.21364.02
Year 4 PV (M)350.91365.45380.44
Year 5 PV (M)355.75374.27393.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,997.3311,569.9812,166.25
Equity Value (M)12,690.2113,316.5013,967.90
Shares Outstanding (M)208.09208.09208.09
Fair Value$60.98$63.99$67.12
Upside / Downside-25.68%-22.01%-18.19%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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