Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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NIOX Group Plc (NIOX.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Equipment & ServicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.24 - $0.35$0.30
Multi-Stage$0.40 - $0.44$0.42
Blended Fair Value$0.36
Current Price$0.68
Upside-47.35%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.242.031.22
Cash Retained (M)2.802.802.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.24-2.03-1.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.440.781.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)431.71431.71431.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.030.030.03
WACC / Discount Rate10.01%10.01%10.01%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.24$0.30$0.35
Upside / Downside-63.99%-56.59%-49.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16.2016.0415.8815.7215.5615.4115.87
Payout Ratio82.72%84.17%85.63%87.09%88.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13.4013.5013.6013.6913.7813.8714.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.01%10.01%10.01%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)12.1512.2712.39
Year 2 PV (M)11.0111.2311.46
Year 3 PV (M)9.9710.2810.60
Year 4 PV (M)9.039.419.79
Year 5 PV (M)8.188.609.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)123.45129.88136.57
Equity Value (M)173.79181.67189.86
Shares Outstanding (M)431.71431.71431.71
Fair Value$0.40$0.42$0.44
Upside / Downside-40.80%-38.11%-35.32%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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