Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Marwyn Value Investors Limited (MVI.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.70 - $3.83$3.26
Multi-Stage$4.18 - $4.58$4.38
Blended Fair Value$3.82
Current Price$0.92
Upside314.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.18%0.00%0.090.090.090.090.000.070.080.100.140.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-0.65%0.00%-100.00%-6.52%-25.00%-28.15%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--9.57%10.97%9.30%7.47%0.00%6.79%6.47%6.42%9.99%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)23.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.48
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.712.941.77
Cash Retained (M)13.4813.4813.48
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.71-2.94-1.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.7710.5411.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)56.9256.9256.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.190.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.180.180.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.190.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.330.360.38
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.70$3.26$3.83
Upside / Downside192.99%253.17%314.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)23.5423.3023.0722.8422.6122.3823.05
Payout Ratio42.72%52.18%61.63%71.09%80.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.0512.1614.2216.2318.2120.1421.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)10.9411.0511.16
Year 2 PV (M)11.5111.7511.99
Year 3 PV (M)11.8312.2012.57
Year 4 PV (M)11.9512.4412.95
Year 5 PV (M)11.8912.5113.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)180.00189.37199.13
Equity Value (M)238.13249.33260.97
Shares Outstanding (M)56.9256.9256.92
Fair Value$4.18$4.38$4.58
Upside / Downside353.49%374.83%396.99%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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