Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Luceco plc (LUCE.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.68 - $41.90$14.92
Multi-Stage$4.81 - $5.26$5.03
Blended Fair Value$9.97
Current Price$1.50
Upside564.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS31.60%0.00%0.050.050.070.070.010.010.000.010.000.00
YoY Growth--4.17%-33.94%-2.68%386.96%21.05%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.80%3.71%7.20%2.08%0.58%0.98%0.00%1.05%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)32.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)17.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.524.082.45
Cash Retained (M)17.6017.6017.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.52-4.08-2.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.0813.5315.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)154.14154.14154.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.090.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.090.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.170.190.20
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.10%6.10%7.10%
Fair Value$7.68$14.92$41.90
Upside / Downside411.81%894.47%2,693.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)32.6034.5936.7038.9441.3143.8345.15
Payout Ratio46.01%54.81%63.61%72.40%81.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.0018.9623.3428.1933.5539.4541.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.10%6.10%7.10%
Year 1 PV (M)17.4817.6517.82
Year 2 PV (M)19.8520.2320.61
Year 3 PV (M)22.1122.7523.40
Year 4 PV (M)24.2625.2026.16
Year 5 PV (M)26.3127.5928.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)630.79661.38693.14
Equity Value (M)740.81774.79810.04
Shares Outstanding (M)154.14154.14154.14
Fair Value$4.81$5.03$5.26
Upside / Downside220.40%235.10%250.34%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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