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Loews Corporation (L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$66.52 - $103.73$83.68
Multi-Stage$102.26 - $112.47$107.26
Blended Fair Value$95.47
Current Price$100.39
Upside-4.90%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-6.26%-5.32%0.260.270.290.310.330.360.380.400.400.42
YoY Growth---3.51%-6.56%-6.15%-7.14%-7.89%-5.00%-4.76%0.00%-6.67%-5.26%
Dividend Yield--0.28%0.35%0.50%0.47%0.64%1.03%0.77%0.80%0.85%1.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,452.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,400.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)290.40181.50108.90
Cash Retained (M)1,400.001,400.001,400.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-290.40-181.50-108.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,109.601,218.501,291.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)212.30212.30212.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.235.746.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.235.746.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.475.986.33
WACC / Discount Rate7.99%7.99%7.99%
Growth Rate-0.22%0.78%1.78%
Fair Value$66.52$83.68$103.73
Upside / Downside-33.74%-16.65%3.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,452.001,463.361,474.811,486.341,497.971,509.691,554.98
Payout Ratio3.58%20.87%38.15%55.43%72.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52.00305.33562.62823.921,089.271,358.721,438.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.99%7.99%7.99%
Growth Rate-0.22%0.78%1.78%
Year 1 PV (M)279.93282.74285.54
Year 2 PV (M)472.92482.45492.07
Year 3 PV (M)634.95654.23673.90
Year 4 PV (M)769.62800.94833.21
Year 5 PV (M)880.15925.15971.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,672.0819,626.6620,619.89
Equity Value (M)21,709.6622,772.1723,876.58
Shares Outstanding (M)212.30212.30212.30
Fair Value$102.26$107.26$112.47
Upside / Downside1.86%6.85%12.03%

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