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Definitive Analysis

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Kasikornbank Public Company Limited (KBANK-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$402.32 - $888.00$579.28
Multi-Stage$476.28 - $521.62$498.53
Blended Fair Value$538.91
Current Price$167.50
Upside221.73%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.17%7.81%7.504.003.253.004.504.044.044.044.044.04
YoY Growth--87.50%23.08%8.33%-33.33%11.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%14.29%
Dividend Yield--4.64%3.23%2.45%1.86%3.10%4.42%2.17%1.91%2.14%2.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)49,780.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29,616.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)20,164.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,956.186,222.613,733.57
Cash Retained (M)20,164.2920,164.2920,164.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,956.18-6,222.61-3,733.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)10,208.1213,941.6816,430.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,369.332,369.332,369.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.315.886.93
LTM Dividend per Share12.5012.5012.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.315.886.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend16.8118.3819.43
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate2.74%3.74%4.74%
Fair Value$402.32$579.28$888.00
Upside / Downside140.19%245.84%430.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)49,780.8951,643.7553,576.3255,581.2157,661.1359,818.8861,613.44
Payout Ratio59.49%65.60%71.70%77.80%83.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29,616.6033,875.7838,412.2643,240.8348,376.9853,836.9956,992.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate2.74%3.74%4.74%
Year 1 PV (M)31,344.3231,649.4031,954.48
Year 2 PV (M)32,885.8533,529.1334,178.64
Year 3 PV (M)34,253.3335,263.2736,292.87
Year 4 PV (M)35,458.2436,859.0038,300.85
Year 5 PV (M)36,511.4238,323.1940,206.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)958,019.661,005,558.641,054,966.35
Equity Value (M)1,128,472.811,181,182.621,235,899.37
Shares Outstanding (M)2,369.332,369.332,369.33
Fair Value$476.28$498.53$521.62
Upside / Downside184.35%197.63%211.42%

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