Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

ITV plc (ITV.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BroadcastingSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.16 - $1.71$1.43
Multi-Stage$2.15 - $2.36$2.26
Blended Fair Value$1.84
Current Price$0.82
Upside123.40%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-9.15%-4.48%0.050.050.050.000.000.080.080.130.170.12
YoY Growth---1.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%1.59%-36.23%-25.49%44.44%46.65%
Dividend Yield--6.82%8.05%6.78%0.00%0.00%5.37%6.39%7.54%8.16%4.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)598.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)327.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)270.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)119.6074.7544.85
Cash Retained (M)270.50270.50270.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-119.60-74.75-44.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)150.90195.75225.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,946.323,946.323,946.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.120.130.14
WACC / Discount Rate8.08%8.08%8.08%
Growth Rate-2.11%-1.11%-0.11%
Fair Value$1.16$1.43$1.71
Upside / Downside41.21%73.00%107.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)598.00591.37584.81578.33571.92565.58582.55
Payout Ratio54.77%61.81%68.86%75.91%82.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)327.50365.54402.70438.99474.43509.02538.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.08%8.08%8.08%
Growth Rate-2.11%-1.11%-0.11%
Year 1 PV (M)334.78338.20341.62
Year 2 PV (M)337.78344.71351.72
Year 3 PV (M)337.23347.67358.33
Year 4 PV (M)333.79347.63361.91
Year 5 PV (M)327.99345.09362.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,829.617,185.657,556.38
Equity Value (M)8,501.188,908.969,332.85
Shares Outstanding (M)3,946.323,946.323,946.32
Fair Value$2.15$2.26$2.36
Upside / Downside161.27%173.81%186.83%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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