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Intelbras S.A. - Indústria de Telecomunicação Eletrônica Brasileira (INTB3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$90.36 - $287.60$269.52
Multi-Stage$38.26 - $41.87$40.03
Blended Fair Value$154.78
Current Price$11.78
Upside1,213.90%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.55%8.03%0.370.530.350.400.070.280.190.160.100.06
YoY Growth---31.03%49.98%-11.94%480.67%-75.23%46.80%16.41%62.93%58.73%-62.62%
Dividend Yield--2.85%2.66%1.64%1.28%0.37%1.54%1.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)472.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)160.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)312.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)94.5559.0935.46
Cash Retained (M)312.11312.11312.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-94.55-59.09-35.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)217.56253.02276.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)326.90326.90326.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.670.770.85
LTM Dividend per Share0.490.490.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.670.770.85
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.161.271.34
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$90.36$269.52$287.60
Upside / Downside667.03%2,187.98%2,341.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)472.74503.47536.19571.04608.16647.69667.12
Payout Ratio33.98%45.18%56.39%67.59%78.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)160.63227.48302.34385.98479.21582.92617.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)210.90212.90214.90
Year 2 PV (M)259.87264.82269.81
Year 3 PV (M)307.57316.39325.39
Year 4 PV (M)354.02367.63381.63
Year 5 PV (M)399.24418.53438.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,975.4011,505.5112,055.92
Equity Value (M)12,506.9913,085.7813,686.20
Shares Outstanding (M)326.90326.90326.90
Fair Value$38.26$40.03$41.87
Upside / Downside224.78%239.82%255.41%

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