Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Gofore Oyj (GOFORE.HE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36.77 - $114.80$107.59
Multi-Stage$15.94 - $17.41$16.66
Blended Fair Value$62.13
Current Price$17.90
Upside247.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS24.11%33.06%0.470.340.280.220.180.160.120.070.030.03
YoY Growth--39.11%22.75%27.60%20.42%12.22%28.51%84.70%99.17%25.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.33%1.53%1.09%0.98%0.83%2.64%1.71%0.75%0.50%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.801.130.68
Cash Retained (M)1.461.461.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.80-1.13-0.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.340.340.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.6215.6215.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.020.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.480.480.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.020.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.460.510.53
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$36.77$107.59$114.80
Upside / Downside105.44%501.05%541.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9.029.6010.2310.8911.6012.3612.73
Payout Ratio83.77%85.01%86.26%87.51%88.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.558.168.829.5310.3011.1211.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)7.577.647.71
Year 2 PV (M)7.597.737.88
Year 3 PV (M)7.607.828.04
Year 4 PV (M)7.617.918.21
Year 5 PV (M)7.637.998.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)211.04221.24231.82
Equity Value (M)249.04260.33272.04
Shares Outstanding (M)15.6215.6215.62
Fair Value$15.94$16.66$17.41
Upside / Downside-10.94%-6.90%-2.72%

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