Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Hellenic Exchanges - Athens Stock Exchange S.A. (EXAE.AT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Data & Stock ExchangesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.32 - $73.73$69.09
Multi-Stage$9.99 - $10.92$10.45
Blended Fair Value$39.77
Current Price$5.99
Upside563.94%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.45%1.03%0.250.160.160.070.070.170.210.340.360.35
YoY Growth--60.01%0.00%114.30%0.00%-56.25%-20.33%-38.20%-6.25%2.24%56.49%
Dividend Yield--4.60%2.99%3.98%1.98%1.86%4.95%4.66%7.29%7.83%7.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)21.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.292.681.61
Cash Retained (M)4.654.654.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.29-2.68-1.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.361.973.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)57.8557.8557.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.030.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.030.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.300.320.34
WACC / Discount Rate6.90%6.90%6.90%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$22.32$69.09$73.73
Upside / Downside272.66%1,053.46%1,130.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)21.4522.8424.3225.9127.5929.3830.26
Payout Ratio78.34%80.67%83.00%85.33%87.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.8018.4220.1922.1124.1926.4427.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.90%6.90%6.90%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)17.0717.2417.40
Year 2 PV (M)17.3417.6718.00
Year 3 PV (M)17.5918.1018.61
Year 4 PV (M)17.8318.5219.23
Year 5 PV (M)18.0718.9419.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)490.25513.93538.51
Equity Value (M)578.15604.39631.59
Shares Outstanding (M)57.8557.8557.85
Fair Value$9.99$10.45$10.92
Upside / Downside66.84%74.42%82.27%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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