Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk (EMTK.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BroadcastingSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,391.98 - $17,866.05$6,778.49
Multi-Stage$2,396.71 - $2,623.58$2,508.05
Blended Fair Value$4,643.27
Current Price$484.00
Upside859.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.77%-3.39%8.737.236.140.040.005.237.009.1614.0847.40
YoY Growth--20.79%17.75%17,347.96%0.00%-100.00%-25.25%-23.58%-34.92%-70.30%284.71%
Dividend Yield--1.60%1.65%0.78%0.00%0.00%1.05%0.86%1.07%1.60%5.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,545,680.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,687,775.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,857,905.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,109,136.17693,210.11415,926.06
Cash Retained (M)2,857,905.262,857,905.262,857,905.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,109,136.17-693,210.11-415,926.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,748,769.092,164,695.152,441,979.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)61,152.3761,152.3761,152.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share28.6035.4039.93
LTM Dividend per Share43.9543.9543.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share28.6035.4039.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend72.5579.3583.88
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate4.49%5.49%6.49%
Fair Value$3,391.98$6,778.49$17,866.05
Upside / Downside600.82%1,300.52%3,591.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,545,680.855,850,225.326,171,494.056,510,405.446,867,928.367,245,084.887,462,437.42
Payout Ratio48.47%56.77%65.08%73.39%81.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,687,775.593,321,341.714,016,387.594,777,754.965,610,631.926,520,576.396,902,754.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate4.49%5.49%6.49%
Year 1 PV (M)3,082,513.023,112,013.133,141,513.25
Year 2 PV (M)3,459,539.843,526,073.333,593,240.52
Year 3 PV (M)3,819,424.693,930,134.894,042,964.05
Year 4 PV (M)4,162,720.174,324,373.774,490,690.47
Year 5 PV (M)4,489,963.254,708,963.184,936,426.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)127,550,392.90133,771,719.29140,233,470.00
Equity Value (M)146,564,553.87153,373,277.59160,438,304.68
Shares Outstanding (M)61,152.3761,152.3761,152.37
Fair Value$2,396.71$2,508.05$2,623.58
Upside / Downside395.19%418.19%442.06%

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