Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Carsurin Tbk (CRSN.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$87.84 - $135.77$110.08
Multi-Stage$195.90 - $215.85$205.68
Blended Fair Value$157.88
Current Price$105.00
Upside50.36%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%2.350.003.720.730.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%411.90%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)27,376.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,796.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)20,580.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,475.373,422.102,053.26
Cash Retained (M)20,580.6320,580.6320,580.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,475.37-3,422.10-2,053.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)15,105.2617,158.5318,527.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,892.002,892.002,892.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.225.936.41
LTM Dividend per Share2.352.352.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.225.936.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.578.288.76
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$87.84$110.08$135.77
Upside / Downside-16.34%4.84%29.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)27,376.8327,103.0626,832.0326,563.7126,298.0726,035.0926,816.14
Payout Ratio24.82%37.86%50.89%63.93%76.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,796.2010,261.1413,656.1016,982.1420,240.2923,431.5824,804.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)9,542.109,639.479,736.84
Year 2 PV (M)11,809.2812,051.5112,296.21
Year 3 PV (M)13,656.4314,078.7714,509.72
Year 4 PV (M)15,135.9515,763.2716,409.88
Year 5 PV (M)16,294.5717,143.0618,026.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)500,096.58526,137.77553,252.65
Equity Value (M)566,534.91594,813.85624,231.84
Shares Outstanding (M)2,892.002,892.002,892.00
Fair Value$195.90$205.68$215.85
Upside / Downside86.57%95.88%105.57%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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