Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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C.P. Tower Growth Leasehold Property Fund (CPTGF.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - IndustrialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.87 - $7.48$6.09
Multi-Stage$10.88 - $11.96$11.41
Blended Fair Value$8.75
Current Price$5.05
Upside73.29%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS-10.44%0.00%0.460.670.580.700.830.800.810.780.780.62
YoY Growth---30.29%14.26%-17.39%-14.76%2.71%-0.32%3.75%0.15%25.43%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.83%9.05%6.85%7.49%8.10%6.19%6.46%5.48%5.55%6.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)518.66
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)328.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)190.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)103.7364.8338.90
Cash Retained (M)190.17190.17190.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-103.73-64.83-38.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)86.44125.34151.27
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)967.00967.00967.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.130.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.340.340.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.130.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.430.470.50
WACC / Discount Rate6.63%6.63%6.63%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.87$6.09$7.48
Upside / Downside-3.50%20.61%48.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)518.66513.47508.34503.25498.22493.24508.04
Payout Ratio63.33%68.67%74.00%79.33%84.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)328.49352.59376.17399.25421.83443.91469.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.63%6.63%6.63%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)327.33330.67334.01
Year 2 PV (M)324.21330.86337.58
Year 3 PV (M)319.45329.33339.41
Year 4 PV (M)313.33326.32339.70
Year 5 PV (M)306.12322.06338.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,930.979,396.029,880.25
Equity Value (M)10,521.4011,035.2511,569.61
Shares Outstanding (M)967.00967.00967.00
Fair Value$10.88$11.41$11.96
Upside / Downside115.45%125.98%136.92%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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