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Definitive Analysis

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The Bidvest Group Limited (BVT.JO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$829.37 - $2,138.43$1,257.09
Multi-Stage$679.07 - $741.95$709.93
Blended Fair Value$983.51
Current Price$233.53
Upside321.15%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS6.57%5.29%9.159.578.527.343.146.665.775.124.529.50
YoY Growth---4.40%12.38%16.04%133.93%-52.87%15.44%12.64%13.27%-52.42%73.78%
Dividend Yield--3.92%3.31%3.26%3.50%1.65%4.69%3.00%2.60%2.87%6.85%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,437.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,377.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,060.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,487.501,554.69932.81
Cash Retained (M)6,060.526,060.526,060.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,487.50-1,554.69-932.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,573.014,505.835,127.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)340.59340.59340.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.4913.2315.06
LTM Dividend per Share18.7218.7218.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.4913.2315.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend29.2131.9533.78
WACC / Discount Rate8.25%8.25%8.25%
Growth Rate4.57%5.57%6.57%
Fair Value$829.37$1,257.09$2,138.43
Upside / Downside255.15%438.30%815.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,437.5213,130.1113,861.2614,633.1315,447.9916,308.2116,797.46
Payout Ratio51.27%59.02%66.76%74.51%82.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,377.007,749.109,254.2510,902.9912,706.6614,677.3915,537.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.25%8.25%8.25%
Growth Rate4.57%5.57%6.57%
Year 1 PV (M)7,090.597,158.407,226.21
Year 2 PV (M)7,748.237,897.148,047.46
Year 3 PV (M)8,352.928,594.868,841.42
Year 4 PV (M)8,907.489,253.139,608.75
Year 5 PV (M)9,414.639,873.4910,350.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)189,767.00199,016.02208,622.21
Equity Value (M)231,280.85241,793.03252,696.11
Shares Outstanding (M)340.59340.59340.59
Fair Value$679.07$709.93$741.95
Upside / Downside190.78%204.00%217.71%

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