Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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BlackRock Sustainable American Income Trust plc (BRSA.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.23 - $1.75$1.49
Multi-Stage$1.94 - $2.12$2.03
Blended Fair Value$1.76
Current Price$1.98
Upside-11.14%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS5.14%10.77%0.080.080.080.080.070.060.040.040.040.05
YoY Growth--0.00%0.27%-0.97%11.81%15.74%47.87%1.11%-6.34%-7.52%67.19%
Dividend Yield--4.62%4.06%4.03%5.54%3.87%3.68%2.63%2.68%3.95%4.31%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.021.891.13
Cash Retained (M)7.137.137.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.02-1.89-1.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.115.246.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)79.9179.9179.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.070.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.070.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.150.170.17
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.23$1.49$1.75
Upside / Downside-37.65%-24.84%-11.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15.1014.9514.8014.6514.5014.3614.79
Payout Ratio52.78%60.23%67.67%75.11%82.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.979.0010.0111.0111.9712.9213.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)8.108.188.27
Year 2 PV (M)8.118.288.44
Year 3 PV (M)8.028.278.52
Year 4 PV (M)7.858.188.51
Year 5 PV (M)7.638.028.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)115.35121.36127.61
Equity Value (M)155.07162.29169.80
Shares Outstanding (M)79.9179.9179.91
Fair Value$1.94$2.03$2.12
Upside / Downside-1.99%2.57%7.32%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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