Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk (BRIS.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,406.71 - $30,545.02$9,879.06
Multi-Stage$3,170.01 - $3,468.40$3,316.48
Blended Fair Value$6,597.77
Current Price$2,590.00
Upside154.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS140.38%0.00%18.559.2416.410.005.520.230.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--100.83%-43.73%0.00%-100.00%2,290.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.79%0.36%0.98%0.00%0.25%0.12%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,467,578.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,050,883.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,416,695.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,493,515.60933,447.25560,068.35
Cash Retained (M)6,416,695.006,416,695.006,416,695.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,493,515.60-933,447.25-560,068.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,923,179.405,483,247.755,856,626.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)46,130.1546,130.1546,130.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share106.72118.86126.96
LTM Dividend per Share22.7822.7822.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share106.72118.86126.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend129.50141.65149.74
WACC / Discount Rate8.03%8.03%8.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$5,406.71$9,879.06$30,545.02
Upside / Downside108.75%281.43%1,079.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,467,578.007,952,970.578,469,913.669,020,458.049,606,787.8210,231,229.0310,538,165.90
Payout Ratio14.07%29.26%44.44%59.63%74.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,050,883.002,326,887.023,764,331.585,378,812.837,187,272.359,208,106.129,747,803.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.03%8.03%8.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,133,761.442,153,986.672,174,211.89
Year 2 PV (M)3,165,402.943,225,694.983,286,555.81
Year 3 PV (M)4,147,612.064,266,675.104,387,995.19
Year 4 PV (M)5,082,136.955,277,581.605,478,609.96
Year 5 PV (M)5,970,671.036,259,056.676,558,479.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)125,733,594.79131,806,574.44138,111,981.30
Equity Value (M)146,233,179.22152,989,569.45159,997,833.66
Shares Outstanding (M)46,130.1546,130.1546,130.15
Fair Value$3,170.01$3,316.48$3,468.40
Upside / Downside22.39%28.05%33.92%

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